Daniel - Poker Journal
Tough Task Lies Ahead01 Oct 2008
Several key reasons for that:
1) Fatigue. It's no joke and it's making it very hard on me. I have put in a ton of hours recently and the days are extremely long with no down time in between play. Aside from the 40 hours of play in the last four days, I also put in two long days coming 24th in the first No limit event, and another two long days in the HORSE event coming 14th. 8 hours of sleep is essential if I am going to have a chance.
2) They are good.
Seat 1: Robin Keston 849,000
Seat 2: Daniel Negreanu 1,002,000
Seat 3: Chris Elliott 281,000
Seat 4: Bengt Sonnert 385,000
Seat 5: John Juanda 1,349,000
Seat 6: Ivan Demidov 1,006,000
Seat 7: Toni Hiltunen 386,000
Seat 8: Scott Fischman 732,000
Seat 9: Stanislav Alekhin 1,278,000
They are all really good players, not one of them sucks and I'd be happy to stake each and everyone one of them in tournaments and am certain it would be a profitable investment. There is no fluke at this table and there is just a ton of play left. The final table will take at least 15 hours in my guesstimation. With the deep stacks it means that you actually need to be fresh as the decisions are all more difficult.
John Juanda is leading the event and he is tough for me to play against for a lot of reasons. He is much more comfortable playing very large pots in marginal situations and he has more chips than I do. The only blessing here is that he isn't on my immediate left.
The two Russians are also extremely tough players. The Russians who have begun to dominate the poker scene recently are all excellent games players and they are deep thinkers. They can flat out play and will put me in some tough spots.
All of the other players know what they are doing and rarely get their money in bad. It's going to be a total grind and if I was in peak shape mentally and from a fatigue standpoint I'd feel a bit stronger about the situation, but in being totally objective based on this situation if I'm not able to be mentally ready for the long haul, it's going to take some luck for me to win.
I am going to go in there with everything I got, though, and if that means I'm only functioning at 60% then so be it. I'm not going to quit, surrender, or feel intimidated by anyone there.
On that note, I should get straight to bed and avoid reading the Daniels Blog forum on FCP which has essentially turned into the politics forum. For the most part the conversation is enjoyable, but there are two posters in particular that I find to be very rude to others when making their points and also extremely stubborn in that they never bother to see that there is another side to every debate and just because you don't agree with it, that doesn't give you the right to be a jerk to those that disagree with you.
There are several posters who I disagree with often, but respect the way in which they share their opinions. Guys lile El Guapo, Balloon Guy, Pot Odds RAC, nutzbuster, brvheart, and a few others.
A guy who I often agree with, vbnautilus, posted the transcript from the CBS interview with Sarah Palin and Katie Couric. The question from Couric was on Palin's position on the financial bailout plan. She said the following:
"That's why I say I, like every American I'm speaking with, were ill about this position that we have been put in where it is the taxpayers looking to bail out. But ultimately, what the bailout does is help those who are concerned about the health-care reform that is needed to help shore up our economy, helping theóit's got to be all about job creation, too, shoring up our economy and putting it back on the right track.
So health-care reform and reducing taxes and reining in spending has got to accompany tax reductions and tax relief for Americans. And trade, we've got to see trade as opportunity, not as a competitive, scary thing. But one in five jobs being created in the trade sector today, we've got to look at that as more opportunity. All those things under the umbrella of job creation. This bailout is a part of that."
I'm obviously partial to Obama, can live with Biden running the country, and I also don't think McCain would do a bad job either. I can't say the same thing about Palin, and the possibility that she could become president if something were to happen to McCain genuinely frightens me.
Anyway, enough of that, I need to sleep!