checkymcfold
Saturday, May 5th, 2007, 9:24 PM
QUOTE (bdc30 @ Saturday, May 5th, 2007, 11:06 PM)

I think we're pretty well stacked here to play it just the way I did. We're not ever "playing for our stack" on the turn, as I kept the pot to a size that I could still c/c and wait for a safe river while still having 2/3 of my starting chips. Thus - the title of the thread. I'm oop, but can still control the size of the pot with a vulnerable high hand. I still had $432 left by the river, and with nut high, I think that's an autoshove.
i think you made your mistake on the flop, though. by betting out and allowing yourself to get raised, you inflated the pot to where you lose some meaningful $ on the turn if you don't hit a safe card. i agree with the title of your thread, but i think you could control the pot MORE with a very vulnerable hand (and OOP, which is super important here too) by just c/cing.
cham, those are basically even #s against a non-cfp low draw hand range in terms of scooping, and the numbers david posted assume the low gets there on the turn. i'm talking about peeling the flop, when our scoop numbers are significantly higher since we're not looking at **** equity for the low after it's been made by a better hand. since we have the made hand, that's an easy c/peel flop imho. the villain's ev goes to **** if he misses the turn (note that the turn as the hand played out is HIT by the villain in all likelihood by giving him an almost-freeroll almost all of the time), and if we've kept the pot small, we can scoop the thing on the turn. i agree with your basic premises, that playing OOP and against strong draws sux0rz, but the odd thing is that here being OOP is actually better since we have the made hand. we can limit the pressure put on us on the flop and can donkpot the turn if it's safe, making the villain make a mistake most of the time if we don't plan to pay off a club river.
this hand is actually a lot more interesting than i originally thought as i analyze it more, though. nice post bdc.