checkymcfold
Saturday, April 7th, 2007, 8:25 PM
QUOTE (SpiderGuard @ Saturday, April 7th, 2007, 4:03 PM)

Thanks to all for their help. I'm in agreement with all who said bet the flop...I think that was a better way to go.
I guess I'm still confused on the idea of worrying about a low draw. Are the implied odds for villain good in this case? I feel like making him pay to try for his low is +EV, and it's such a small pot on the flop that I really have no desire to scoop. On the other hand you all are much better than I am so I'm sure you're right. Can anyone clarify for me?
the basic gist of charging low draws in plo8 is that scooping 150 chips or whatever is better than giving someone around a 40% shot (about right with three random low cards on the turn) to take away almost all of your profit on a hand, especially in a tournament setting when you'll want to accumulate chips early in a relatively high variance game.
in a cash game, sometimes you will want to try to rope people in, but most of those spots will be either when they hold only two low cards and can be counterfeited (that 40% becomes around 25-30% then) or something similar when you have a low draw of your own.