ibuddy
Tuesday, February 27th, 2007, 1:29 PM
QUOTE (Acid_Knight @ Tuesday, February 27th, 2007, 8:57 AM)

And you steal my thunder again...
If you're "sure he's got a monster" then why are you betting bottom pair?
Well Im either putting him on AK or big pair, so I bet to find out where he is, earlier I was betting light and he would just call and when I would bet more on the flop and say he has AK he would fold, get me? So thats mainly why I bet more than a normal bet of $15
QUOTE (Naismith @ Tuesday, February 27th, 2007, 8:34 AM)

I'd have to be absolutely certain he'd stack off with KK or AA if I hit the turn and since the 6 puts a pretty scary board up there for an overpair, I'm not sure if he would. We need to get 9:1 on this call to break even, so stacking him has enough value. Someone who actually understands math can correct me if I'm wrong. On the other hand, if you think he'd fold an overpair if a scary card came, you can include some bluff outs in your decision.
I think the real problem you made here was betting more than the pot when you were certain he had a monster. He checked to you. Take the free card and make a hand before you start building a big pot with a guy you're certain has something.
Thanks for your response Naismith I have thought about what you said and I agree. I shouldn't have made it $30 when I know he has a big hand, I thought maybe if he just had AK that he would just fold here seeing how I raised preflop but I do agree with you on what you said. If anything I should of made it $15.
Well here is what happened. I been playing with this guy and this table for 6-7 hours got a pretty good feel for things, so you kinda got to be in my shoes. But anyways, I called his $50 raise. The turn came another 5 giving me three of a kind.
At this point I know I got him, thats what you got to be thinking at this point right? So he is first to act and bets out $125. I raise him to $300 he says "you raised??? Im all in." Now I dont even call fast because Im trying to figure out how much more it is and how much I have invested in the pot.
I have $380 in the pot matching his $380 and its only $145 more to call. At this point I want to fold my hand and put him on 1010.....judging by this player I really dont think he has AA and over playing it. So mathematically this is a no brain call even if you know your beat right? I mean it would be absolutely stupid to fold or am I wrong (and tell me if you would call and what you would be thinking at this point).