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BudBundy
Cryptologic
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
10 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $92
UTG+1: $93.25
Hero: $99
MP1: $277.42
MP2: $17
MP3: $190.49
CO: $17
Button: $48.50
SB: $39
BB: $19.25

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is UTG+2 with 9 icon_suit_club.gif J icon_suit_heart.gif 7 icon_suit_heart.gif J icon_suit_diamond.gif
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls, 2 folds, MP3 calls, 3 folds, 3 folds, BB checks.

Flop: T icon_suit_heart.gif 4 icon_suit_spade.gif 8 icon_suit_club.gif ($4.5, 4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $4, MP3 raises to $16.5, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Turn: 3 icon_suit_club.gif ($37.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $37.5, Hero ?
Whiskey16
I think it's a fold. If your opponent doesn't have clubs, then I think you're still at best drawing to 12 outs, many of which may be blocked.
simo_8ball
Pretty easy fold.
JacKingOff_suit
Ditto above.

You have the most PE on the flop but it disappears on the turn. You are OOP so you may not have the implied odds.
navybuttons
QUOTE (JacKingOff_suit @ Friday, February 16th, 2007, 10:19 AM) *
Ditto above.

You have the most PE on the flop but it disappears on the turn. You are OOP so you may not have the implied odds.


agree.

BTW, i like having you here. smile.gif
ahosang
BudBundy, why do you bet like this on the flop?
BudBundy
QUOTE (ahosang @ Saturday, February 17th, 2007, 12:44 AM) *
BudBundy, why do you bet like this on the flop?


For both value and deception i guess.

Does it look bad?
Head_Trauma
Is it ridiculous to repot on the flop? I was curious what our equity would be against villain's range. Assuming he repots and we get it all in... If he's on a set with no redraw or a weak redraw, we are nearly exactly 50% to win. If he's on a set with a good redraw (esp one with an open ender) we could have as low as 30% equity. Against top two with a weak redraw, we have about 60-65% equity. Against top two with a strong redraw (J9 and two backdoor flush draws) we have 47% equity.

Against this range, repotting is fairly marginal I think. But then again, our raise might make him fold a hand like bottom set or top two, right?
BudBundy
QUOTE (Head_Trauma @ Saturday, February 17th, 2007, 2:45 PM) *
Is it ridiculous to repot on the flop? I was curious what our equity would be against villain's range. Assuming he repots and we get it all in... If he's on a set with no redraw or a weak redraw, we are nearly exactly 50% to win. If he's on a set with a good redraw (esp one with an open ender) we could have as low as 30% equity. Against top two with a weak redraw, we have about 60-65% equity. Against top two with a strong redraw (J9 and two backdoor flush draws) we have 47% equity.

Against this range, repotting is fairly marginal I think. But then again, our raise might make him fold a hand like bottom set or top two, right?



MP3 have us covered i don't think he'd be shy to push hard with a good hand.

I don't think re-potting here would be a good idea. On turn if the board pairs we are always getting away from our hand but if we hit is he always folding his set?

I think seeing turn > re-popping flop.
Head_Trauma
QUOTE (BudBundy @ Saturday, February 17th, 2007, 4:56 AM) *
MP3 have us covered i don't think he'd be shy to push hard with a good hand.

I don't think re-potting here would be a good idea. On turn if the board pairs we are always getting away from our hand but if we hit is he always folding his set?

I think seeing turn > re-popping flop.



Good point, though I think in general we are not getting paid off well when we draw out of position...
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