Ron_Mexico
Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 6:32 AM
QUOTE (steve7stud @ Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 2:22 AM)

Randomly found this on TV. Wish I had known it was on sooner because I missed the first two fights.
Diaz looked great. His game is a lot better right now.
Rogers looked good I guess, but it seems like he might need to get in shape.
Lawler and Shields looked pretty ugly imo. Shields stand up is awful, and Lawlers ground game is pretty bad. Shields BJJ was tight.
I was pleasantly surprised to find that this was on.
Star studded event.
I thought Shields' kicks were ok, but yeah, he's always been shaky with his fists. He's sick with the BJJ though
WEC card on tonight, probably gonna be three really good fights on
steve7stud
Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 7:32 AM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 7:32 AM)

I thought Shields' kicks were ok, but yeah, he's always been shaky with his fists. He's sick with the BJJ though
WEC card on tonight, probably gonna be three really good fights on
One of the great things about WEC cards is that they are so action packed.
The smaller guys never stop and it almost always makes for an exciting fight.
Ron_Mexico
Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 8:34 AM
QUOTE (steve7stud @ Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 11:32 AM)

One of the great things about WEC cards is that they are so action packed.
The smaller guys never stop and it almost always makes for an exciting fight.
watch for Jose Aldo. Guy is pretty electric
Cerrone is tough as balls and trains with GSP
I still love Faber but I think Brown is a stud. Pulling for Faber, wouldn't be surprised for another Brown win.
If Brown wins, I think Faber may, may cut to 135 to fight Torres. That's just pure speculation
jdrury12
Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 4:19 PM
Really looking forward to watching Aldo tonight, and the main event should be a great fight.
BigLebowski
Monday, June 8th, 2009, 7:47 AM
QUOTE (jdrury12 @ Sunday, June 7th, 2009, 8:19 PM)

Really looking forward to watching Aldo tonight, and the main event should be a great fight.
hope you didn't blink
I totally spaced that this was on and starting watching at the Aldo interview and saw his highlight.
The Brown/Faber fight went about as expected. Who knows what would have happened if Faber didn't jack up his hands, but honestly I think it would have went about the same. Just not quite as one-sided. Brown is just so strong for 145. Hopefully Faber will drop and fight Torres. That would make for a crazy exciting fight.
I watched Jake Shield's fight and not much has changed. His standup is really hard to watch. He is lucky his submissions are so good because he sure isn't making much progress standing.
Ron_Mexico
Monday, June 8th, 2009, 3:07 PM
broken hand not withstanding, Faber's stand up is frustrating as well because he doesn't throw combos. He's just in and out with one punch or one kick.
and how do you not resort to wrestling when your hand is broken? It's easier to throw elbows when you're on top of someone. Then again, his hand looked painful. I was so hoping that he was going to pull off that choke in the 5th.
I'm happy for Brown though, he's a local guy of sorts, he trains at ATT, not far from where I work.
That Aldo is a violent fella.
That flying triangle was absolutely sick. Lots of good grappling tonight. Me a happy boy.
Sal Paradise
Monday, June 8th, 2009, 3:44 PM
I was all excited last night to finally be able to watch an mma show since it wasn't pay per view until I realized I CUT OFF MY FUCKING CABLE. people this stupid shouldn't be allowed to live.
jdrury12
Monday, June 8th, 2009, 5:01 PM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Monday, June 8th, 2009, 6:07 PM)

and how do you not resort to wrestling when your hand is broken? It's easier to throw elbows when you're on top of someone. Then again, his hand looked painful. I was so hoping that he was going to pull off that choke in the 5th.
Because Brown is bigger and stronger, not being able to hold a leg would put him right there for the picking. And I agree, nailing the choke in the fifth would have been awesome.
Ron_Mexico
Monday, June 8th, 2009, 5:09 PM
QUOTE (jdrury12 @ Monday, June 8th, 2009, 9:01 PM)

Because Brown is bigger and stronger, not being able to hold a leg would put him right there for the picking. And I agree, nailing the choke in the fifth would have been awesome.
I meant to add that Faber's habit of giving up his back will end up costing him against a jui jitsu ace I'd imagine. You can only scramble so much.
grocery_mony
Wednesday, June 10th, 2009, 7:56 PM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Wednesday, June 3rd, 2009, 9:46 AM)

meh, we'll keep it friendly. Maybe a signature bet under the terms you wrote.
Sure sig bet is good. I agree if you do.
I took Wandy a couple months back when i was a little more flush and am starting to have second thoughts. Oh well should be a good fight. Probally not paying for this card with 3 real good UFC cards in the next couple of months which i will be buying.
grocery_mony
Friday, June 12th, 2009, 6:37 PM
TUF extended through to season 14. Looks like the Kimbo hype worked. Now for phase 2 of Dana's plan, tottally annialate Kimbo as a legitimate mma fighter.
Heard Uriah on Adam Carrola's podcast that was taped before the fight last Sunday. Uriah in it talked about going down to 135 to face Torres so thats probally gonna happen now.
LOL I must be a total convert to MMA. A Canadian talking MMA during game 7 of the Stanley cup final.
Ron_Mexico
Friday, June 12th, 2009, 9:03 PM
QUOTE (grocery_mony @ Wednesday, June 10th, 2009, 11:56 PM)

Sure sig bet is good. I agree if you do.
I took Wandy a couple months back when i was a little more flush and am starting to have second thoughts. Oh well should be a good fight. Probally not paying for this card with 3 real good UFC cards in the next couple of months which i will be buying.
confirmed
I'm going to my local bar at 3pm. Last Euro card was on so I'm hoping this one will be. Seems like a decent card actually.
grocery_mony
Friday, June 12th, 2009, 9:19 PM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Friday, June 12th, 2009, 10:03 PM)

confirmed
I'm going to my local bar at 3pm. Last Euro card was on so I'm hoping this one will be. Seems like a decent card actually.
The Wandy/Franklin and Davis/Hardy fights should be action packed. The Kongo/Valesquez fight is also intriguing as the winner should be heavily concidered for the winner of Brock and Frank. I think Crocop might get ****ed up again. I would concider buying this if it was a live North American card.
AimHigher
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 2:58 AM
Guys, why is Kongo a dog vs Velasquez? Is Velasquez really that good?
steve7stud
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 6:17 AM
QUOTE (AimHigher @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 3:58 AM)

Guys, why is Kongo a dog vs Velasquez? Is Velasquez really that good?
Velaqquez is a beast. A lot of people consider him to be the most talented fighter to come out of AKA.
He has really good stand up, but he will be at a reach disadvantage in this fight.
He is world class wrestler. So if he is smart he takes this fight to the ground..........where Kongo has shown to have great weakness.
The problem with this fight is that Velasquez likes to go for the finish. If he gets the fight to the ground it might be harder to do from a wrestling stand point. He could become stubborn and want to keep the fight standing. If he does that, Kongo has a bit of an edge. If he fights a smart fight, he has the tools to win.
AimHigher
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:01 AM
QUOTE (steve7stud @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 3:17 PM)

Velaqquez is a beast. A lot of people consider him to be the most talented fighter to come out of AKA.
He has really good stand up, but he will be at a reach disadvantage in this fight.
He is world class wrestler. So if he is smart he takes this fight to the ground..........where Kongo has shown to have great weakness.
The problem with this fight is that Velasquez likes to go for the finish. If he gets the fight to the ground it might be harder to do from a wrestling stand point. He could become stubborn and want to keep the fight standing. If he does that, Kongo has a bit of an edge. If he fights a smart fight, he has the tools to win.
You think there's value in Kongo at +160 or w/e the line is?
gooch
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:53 AM
QUOTE (AimHigher @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 3:58 AM)

Guys, why is Kongo a dog vs Velasquez? Is Velasquez really that good?
have you seen kongo's ground game? my seven year old has better skills
gooch
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:55 AM
i want to see wandy rampage franklin right into obscurity
savagerebel
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:58 AM
I don't bet the fights much. Usually just a $10 bet with some guys at work. I was looking for the lines for the fights today I came across this site that give you the money lines from multiple sites.
http://zewkey.com/mma_betting_super_page.htmOne fight really stood out to me and some of you betting guys might want to see if it is for real.
M Al Turk +325 +300
-450 +300
Cro-Cop -420 -400
+275 -500
Is this just a typo or a real change to make some cash?
BigLebowski
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 8:24 AM
QUOTE (savagerebel @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 11:58 AM)

I don't bet the fights much. Usually just a $10 bet with some guys at work. I was looking for the lines for the fights today I came across this site that give you the money lines from multiple sites.
http://zewkey.com/mma_betting_super_page.htmOne fight really stood out to me and some of you betting guys might want to see if it is for real.
M Al Turk +325 +300
-450 +300
Cro-Cop -420 -400
+275 -500
Is this just a typo or a real change to make some cash?
It's a typo. Go to betus.com and Cro-Cop is -400.
There are some interesting match ups today.
I think Franklin's movement and reach advantage is going to be too much for Wandy. If someone doesn't stand right in front of Wandy he has some trouble.
I think their is some value in Uno over Fisher, but Fisher is such a tough SOB. I think Uno can take him down and outpoint him in a decision. I don't see him pounding Fisher out nor do I see Uno getting submitted.
If Cain can't take Kongo down he will be in for a long night. If Cain gets the takedown it could be over quickly. Kongo has improved his ground game, but not enough to compete with someone like Cain imo.
Davis has won a lot of money for me, but if I were to bet this fight I might have to take Hardy as the 2-1 underdog. Davis has shown some vulnerability in his last few fights, especially bigger 170'ers. I don't think Hardy is a 2-1 dog and would be betting pure odds on this one.
I think Cro Cop gets back to his winning ways with a highlight reel KO, but not sure if I would bet it. Just a prediction.
Saunders could pull a big upset against Swick, but I think this might be his first fight cutting to 170 which is always scary.
AimHigher
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 9:15 AM
QUOTE (gooch @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 4:53 PM)

have you seen kongo's ground game? my seven year old has better skills
Well, I don't think any of us expects Kongo to submit Velasquez off his back. That said, Kongo's wrestling has developed rapidly. If you saw his last fight against al-turk, Mustapha could not take him down. Now granted, al-turk's wrestling is not going to be near the same level of pedigree as Velasquez's (I've been watching mmalinker.com all morning) but that doesn't mean we should assume he's going to score 100% of takedowns.
I'm not arguing he should be the favorite, I'm just saying maybe there's some value in Kongo. I wouldn't be surprised if Kongo won and then half of sherdog started screaming he's the future HW champ.
canadianyanke
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 10:35 AM
any live streams? My dish is down =(
Sal Paradise
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 10:43 AM
QUOTE (canadianyanke @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 2:35 PM)

any live streams? My dish is down =(
http://www.channelsurfing.net/ has two or three usually. scroll down.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 11:15 AM
Got a little on Hardy and alot on Wandy.
steve7stud
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 12:06 PM
A lot of people are talking about Wandy and Franklin.
Silva used to be a great fighter, but that guy has been ko'd waaay too many times now and is certainly aging. And it shows.
Franklin seems scared to truly go after someone after his losses to Anderson Silva. He always looks a bit gunshy lately imo.
That's not to say this won't be a great fight. But I don't fully trust/have faith in either one.
pokerinc
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 12:28 PM
I took Franklin here for a small bet. Wandy's beaten one guy since 2006, other than that he's not. Franklin's looked good at the bigger weight, and he's not suspect chinned like Jardine (the only guy Wandy's beat recently)
There's just nothing that says Wandy can pull it off imo. I'd even believe in a Franklin finish.
Ron_Mexico
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 2:18 PM
QUOTE (gooch @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 11:53 AM)

have you seen kongo's ground game? my seven year old has better skills
very prophetic
I will not post any spoilers or anything, but overall, not a super duper card, but some good fights on it. No real surprises for me.
That Cro Cop thing was bad. I don't totally blame the ref though, it all happens so fast. But you have to see that immediate reaction to grab the eyes.
Kongo is awful on the ground. Stand up solid, but ground, ughh. Also, I hate watching wrestlers on the ground sometimes. I know next to nothing and have never taken a lesson, but it was obvious how easily it would've been for Velazquez to submit Kongo. All he had to do was put the hooks in and flatten him out. It was wide open. But he rode him instead
I was talking too much during the main event to really make a decision on who won.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 5:07 PM
Sure hope Wandy still has a job with the UFC. 1-3 I can see Dana looking to renogtiate lower salary. He isnt what he once was but he always has entertaining fights. 185 might be too big a cut for him looking at his gas tank tonight. Rich kinda looked gassed from about midway through the second aswell. Close fight, seems like I am coming out on the losing end of the close decisions lately. I can make arguements in every round for each of the fighters. Chuck/Wandy 2 would make a good co-main event on some card in terms of entertainment value. I dont see him being a factor in the championship picture though. I dont see Rich being a factor in the 205 championship picture either.
bdc30
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:01 PM
CroCop leaves UFC just as fast as he came back. Dana's pissed...lol
http://mmajunkie.com/news/15191/mirko-cro-...-in-germany.mmaQUOTE
COLOGNE, Germany – Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic's return to the UFC was a short one.
Not long after stopping Mostapha Al-Turk in the first round of UFC 99 on Saturday at Lanxess Arena in his first fight in the UFC since back-to-back losses in 2007, Filipovic informed UFC president Dana White that he had signed a three-fight contract with the Japanese-based DREAM organization.
White had signed Filipovic less than a month ago to a one-fight deal, the first time in more than nine years that he'd done that. He had worked out terms on two additional fights, but said he'd only put pen to paper for Saturday's bout.
He brought Filipovic back because he knew the Croat is still very popular, and Filipovic insisted he wanted to make a run for the title.
That proved not to be the truth. After turning down much tougher opposition, including Cain Velasquez, who defeated Cheick Kongo later on the card, he wound up with the lightly regarded Al-Turk.
But instead of getting a shot at big names like Randy Couture or Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira and fighting his way into title contention, Filipovic opted to bolt for Japan.
"Isn't that a dirty [expletive] thing to do?" White asked rhetorically after being queried about Filipovic's deal with DREAM. "He [expletived] me. The first time in the history of the company I do one over the phone. He promised me a three-fight deal and he [expletived] me."
Filipovic looked unsteady and hardly impressive in defeating Al-Turk, who is winless in the UFC. He never landed one of his vaunted kicks and the fight ended not from a punch but when he poked Al-Turk in the eye with his finger.
Referee Dan Miragliotta didn't see the poke, so it was regarded as a clean blow and Filipovic won by stoppage.
Filipovic was fighting five months to the day after knee surgery, one of several injuries he said kept him from performing at his best in his first stint in the UFC. Before the fight, he called his 1-2 UFC record "the black spot" on his career.
While speaking with reporters on a prefight conference call, Filipovic seemed enthused about his return and said he was gunning for a title shot. All the while, he apparently knew he was in it for a one-fight deal.
He texted White on the UFC exec's cellular phone and told him he wanted to return. White said Filipovic declined numerous opponents.
Apparently, Filipovic, who is from Croatia, wanted to fight in Germany and use the UFC bout as a tuneup. He did and is now DREAM bound, but he'll almost certainly never fight in the UFC again.
"He didn't keep his word," White said, who said he'd had a two-hour talk with Filipovic on the day "Cro Cop" texted and asked to be able to return. "He talked about honor and all this other [expletive] and he [expletived] me.
"He fed me this bull [expletive] about wanting to take a run for the title, and what I think he did was, he went out and did this. He turned down every other [expletive] fighter I offered him, because I needed him to fight Cain. He didn't just poke Al-Turk; he poked me, too."
As is his custom, Filipovic skipped the postfight news conference and could not be reached to comment on the DREAM deal.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 7:05 PM
QUOTE (bdc30 @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 8:01 PM)

CroCop leaves UFC just as fast as he came back. Dana's pissed...lol
http://mmajunkie.com/news/15191/mirko-cro-...-in-germany.mmaLOL. Looks good on Dana
PillyPill
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 9:19 PM
Overall, I thought it was a pretty good PPV. Got me ready for 100. Going to put some big bets on 100. Probably $20 a fight to whoever disagrees with me. I will post tomorrow...when I sober up.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 9:31 PM
QUOTE (PillyPill @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 10:19 PM)

Overall, I thought it was a pretty good PPV. Got me ready for 100. Going to put some big bets on 100. Probably $20 a fight to whoever disagrees with me. I will post tomorrow...when I sober up.
With my losses today I am pretty much all in with GSP(-250) for my sportsbetting bankroll. I also have a little on Mir but thats it. It is my biggest bet in terms of dollars ever. Last time I had my roll commited to one fight was GSP/Penn. I would have bet it up to -400 vs Alves. I hope I got a roll for NFL.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 9:44 PM
Anyone think it was weird that when Buffer announced the winner of the Wandy/Franklin fight he just said "all three judges score it for the winner by unannoumous decision Rich Franklin". He didnt give the scores. Probally just a blunder.
AimHigher
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 2:04 AM
I put waaaaay too much stock in Kongo stuffing Al-turk's takedowns. Wandy vs. Franklin was exciting!
Ron_Mexico
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 5:09 AM
QUOTE (AimHigher @ Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 6:04 AM)

I put waaaaay too much stock in Kongo stuffing Al-turk's takedowns. Wandy vs. Franklin was exciting!
Did you spoiler tag that because you got who fought who incorrect?
steve7stud
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 5:27 AM
Pretty mediocre card imo.
I didn't have any action on this one, but I would have done alright.
One of the things that stood out for some reason is that when a fight is close and goes to a decision, it usually is awarded to the guy who was a favorite. Not saying that there is anything wrong with that........it brings me back to a point I made in a previous thread from some time ago.
Two examples stick out in my mind.
One fight from awhile ago, I had +200 on a fighter. Obv I can't remember the fight. But I was at a friends house and the +200 fighter lost. Now it was a pretty good fight, and my friend said, you had the right side on that one given the odds. So it got me to thinking.....did I?
I later remembered -380 on Diego Sanhez vs Luigi Fioravanti. I thought Diego was going to win. Didn't like the odds, but I still believed that Diego was going to win. In my mind I just couldn't see how Diego would lose the fight.
I'm much more technical in my analysis now. Not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing. But I remember the days of ignoring the odds and just asking myself who I thought would win. If it was the favorite I bet that way. If I didn't know I would bet the dog. And sometimes I believed the dog would win. These were the good old days when the book didn't know how to handicap a fight either.
I would have lost tonight on Marcus Davis. Probably my only loss on the card. But the loss would have been my failure. Results aside. Hardy had a reach advantage and Davis was an emotional wreck. Of course I wouldn't know what exact mental state he would enter the octogon in. But anyone that has gone on like he did about being so offended has to be off his game to a certain degree. And a smart opponent can take advantage of that.
I'm going to give two more examples and then wrap this up.
Mir vs Lesnar 2. By all accounts Mir is a pretty smart bet. He's already beat Lesnar. And he recently defeated Nogeira and looked the best he's ever looked. But if we look closer.......Lesnar was caught with a pretty basic submission. Is that going to happen again? Mir fought Nogeira when Nog had two serious kneee injuries and a staff infection. So it isn't so much that Mir looked great, but he was fighting people who were handicapped due to sickness or lack of experience. Is Mir still a smart bet?
GSP vs Alves. If anyone can beat GSP, Alves has a great chance. Alves is fighting a guy who hates to be hit. And Alves has shown great takedown defense. And don't get me wrong, I really like GSP a lot. But is GSP really the smart bet given these odds?
So these are the things I am asking myself lately.
Trying to combine my gut feeling with technical analysis. Hopefully the two will mesh welll together. Sadly I think they will come to different conclusions.
Feel free to chime in with thoughts........
irishguy
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 6:46 AM
The card went pretty much how I expected. Except the Davs fight, had I paid any attention to the prefight hype I likely would've viewed it differently.
Mir vs Lesnar is interesting. I had Mir last time because the price was just to good. If the line is anywhere near the same I'd take him again but I doubt that'll be the case. If Lesnar is listed as a small favorite I can see some value there. I don't see Mir submitting him the same way, I think Mir is likely going to look to keep this standing as much as possible. He was pretty vocal the last go around about how it'd be near impossible to sub Brock via arm or neck sub.
His standing game looked very good vs Nog but Nog wasn't in great shape going in and stand vs Lesnar is a whole different game. Aside from a few shots vs Couture, Brock's never been tested however his head is built to take punches and standing vs him Mir will have to dodge his freakishly gigantic/powerful hands. I expect Mir to lead with a lot of leg kicks and try to negate Brock's explosiveness. I think Brock catches him this go or is able to ground and pound him without leaving a leg behind this time.
GSP vs Alves; I'm as big of a GSP fan as the next guy but won't touch him at anything more then 250. Alves has the tools to beat him and GSP's losses have come via to much emotion. If he's fired up to much because of the Penn controversy it could be the end of him. To me this fight is more important than Hughes 2 or 3, Serra 2 or Penn 2 in cementing GSP's spot in the history books. I expect him to be clear minded and focused but you just don't know.
Looking very forward to the next PPV.
grocery_mony
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 7:55 AM
I really dont see Alves being much of a threat. I think we all pretty much agree that If the fight goes to the ground alves is pretty much done. Alves is very good at takedownn defence but GSP is the best at takedowns. Going into the the GSP Fitch fight the talk was who would prevail, GSP's excellent takedowns or Fitch excellent takedown defence. Though he stuffed a few takedowns Fitch couldnt stop GSP's relentless takedowns. In the stand up game one of Alves' best weapons is the leg kick. He will have to be much more selesctive with them against GSP due to the threat of takedown. I give GSP the edge in training and gameplanning aswell. So it comes back to how can Alves win? Gotta be a ko which I think happens less times than the odds being offered. I think GSP takes him down early and breaks him down.
gooch
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 10:42 AM
QUOTE (grocery_mony @ Saturday, June 13th, 2009, 10:44 PM)

Anyone think it was weird that when Buffer announced the winner of the Wandy/Franklin fight he just said "all three judges score it for the winner by unannoumous decision Rich Franklin". He didnt give the scores. Probally just a blunder.
more likely because they didn't want to show how poorly the judges still score mma fights
gooch
Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 10:44 AM
QUOTE (steve7stud @ Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 6:27 AM)

Pretty mediocre card imo.
I didn't have any action on this one, but I would have done alright.
One of the things that stood out for some reason is that when a fight is close and goes to a decision, it usually is awarded to the guy who was a favorite. Not saying that there is anything wrong with that........it brings me back to a point I made in a previous thread from some time ago.
Two examples stick out in my mind.
One fight from awhile ago, I had +200 on a fighter. Obv I can't remember the fight. But I was at a friends house and the +200 fighter lost. Now it was a pretty good fight, and my friend said, you had the right side on that one given the odds. So it got me to thinking.....did I?
I later remembered -380 on Diego Sanhez vs Luigi Fioravanti. I thought Diego was going to win. Didn't like the odds, but I still believed that Diego was going to win. In my mind I just couldn't see how Diego would lose the fight.
I'm much more technical in my analysis now. Not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing. But I remember the days of ignoring the odds and just asking myself who I thought would win. If it was the favorite I bet that way. If I didn't know I would bet the dog. And sometimes I believed the dog would win. These were the good old days when the book didn't know how to handicap a fight either.
I would have lost tonight on Marcus Davis. Probably my only loss on the card. But the loss would have been my failure. Results aside. Hardy had a reach advantage and Davis was an emotional wreck. Of course I wouldn't know what exact mental state he would enter the octogon in. But anyone that has gone on like he did about being so offended has to be off his game to a certain degree. And a smart opponent can take advantage of that.
I'm going to give two more examples and then wrap this up.
Mir vs Lesnar 2. By all accounts Mir is a pretty smart bet. He's already beat Lesnar. And he recently defeated Nogeira and looked the best he's ever looked. But if we look closer.......Lesnar was caught with a pretty basic submission. Is that going to happen again? Mir fought Nogeira when Nog had two serious kneee injuries and a staff infection. So it isn't so much that Mir looked great, but he was fighting people who were handicapped due to sickness or lack of experience. Is Mir still a smart bet?
GSP vs Alves. If anyone can beat GSP, Alves has a great chance. Alves is fighting a guy who hates to be hit. And Alves has shown great takedown defense. And don't get me wrong, I really like GSP a lot. But is GSP really the smart bet given these odds?
So these are the things I am asking myself lately.
Trying to combine my gut feeling with technical analysis. Hopefully the two will mesh welll together. Sadly I think they will come to different conclusions.
Feel free to chime in with thoughts........
i think gsp is too fast for alves, sure he has power, but i think you are going to see a real difference in speed here with gsp being able to avoing alves for a round or two and then taking it to him when he starts to get tired
grocery_mony
Monday, June 15th, 2009, 4:17 PM
Some fights I want to see happen this fall.
Carwin/Valesquez
Edgar/winner of Diego/Guida
Leben/Wandy(taylor made <1minute fight for Wandy to get acustomed to the weight or for him to go away if he cant win)
Franklin/Cane
None of these are main event caliber fights but with the recent results could be intriguing matches.
AimHigher
Wednesday, June 17th, 2009, 9:07 AM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Sunday, June 14th, 2009, 2:09 PM)

Did you spoiler tag that because you got who fought who incorrect?
No, it's because I knew you'd read it and misunderstand me.
jdrury12
Thursday, June 18th, 2009, 1:51 PM
With the consensus here and am on GSP large at 100. Only bets I had at 99 were Struve and Uno. gg judges, I'm 100% sure Uno won that fight.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 6:51 PM
I was in the kitchen there but did I just here Dana say Vitor Belfort is coming back to the UFC?
TRB05
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 6:58 PM
QUOTE (grocery_mony @ Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 9:51 PM)

I was in the kitchen there but did I just here Dana say Vitor Belfort is coming back to the UFC?
First, get Tivo or DVR, seriously.
Second, Machida vs. Shogun Oct. 24th at Staples center, not sure if this was known before tonight, I hadn't heard that.
Third, Dana said he's working on getting Belfort for a matchup with Silva at 185
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 7:01 PM
QUOTE (TRB05 @ Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 7:58 PM)

First, get Tivo or DVR, seriously.
Second, Machida vs. Shogun Oct. 24th at Staples center, not sure if this was known before tonight, I hadn't heard that.
Third, Dana said he's working on getting Belfort for a matchup with Silva at 185
I watch maybe a total of 4 hours of tv a week so the DVR isnt worth it for me. Yea Shogun/Machida came outthe week after the Rashad/Machida fight.
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 8:10 PM
Awesome main event. very good card overall. I was pretty shocked Demarcus got dominated as much as he did.
Ron_Mexico
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 8:11 PM
QUOTE (grocery_mony @ Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 11:01 PM)

I watch maybe a total of 4 hours of tv a week so the DVR isnt worth it for me. Yea Shogun/Machida came outthe week after the Rashad/Machida fight.
You'll watch more tv in less time if you have one.
GET IT
Bad decision in Sanchez v Guida. Sanchez destroyed him. Split my ass. Well, my ass has a split, but when you say it, you have to pause, like Split (imagine the word "decision" here) then say "my ass". Shoulda been unanimous
Ok
grocery_mony
Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 8:16 PM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Saturday, June 20th, 2009, 9:11 PM)

You'll watch more tv in less time if you have one.
GET IT
Bad decision in Sanchez v Guida. Sanchez destroyed him. Split my ass. Well, my ass has a split, but when you say it, you have to pause, like Split (imagine the word "decision" here) then say "my ass". Shoulda been unanimous
Ok
For sure. Apparently some bad decisions on the undercard aswell. Give the 1 judge who gave round 1 10-8 a raise. No way Round 2 by Guida was worth just as much as round 1 by Sanchez.
AimHigher
Sunday, June 21st, 2009, 8:07 AM
QUOTE (Ron_Mexico @ Sunday, June 21st, 2009, 5:11 AM)

You'll watch more tv in less time if you have one.
GET IT
Bad decision in Sanchez v Guida. Sanchez destroyed him. Split my ass. Well, my ass has a split, but when you say it, you have to pause, like Split (imagine the word "decision" here) then say "my ass". Shoulda been unanimous
Ok
It's funny because Diego was doing more damage with those elbows from the bottom than Guida was doing from the top. Still, gotta give Guida props. He has an iron jaw. That headkick in round 1 was devastating. I'd say from that fight it's pretty obvious where Diego belongs in the LW division.
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