iggymcfly
Friday, January 12th, 2007, 8:34 AM
QUOTE (CoranMoran @ Thursday, January 11th, 2007, 4:29 PM)

BB check-raised two opponents on the flop.
With his relative position to the PFR, the check raise was not done to thin the field.
It was done with the intent of maximizing value on this hand.
We have a mediocre Top Pair.
It is very likely that Villain's check-raise signifies more than this.
We are almost always behind here, imo.
The board is very draw-lite.
There is only 1 possible overcard to our Kings.
We are not terribly likely to get outdrawn if we are indeed still ahead.
My strong belief that we are behind outweighs my need to knock SB out.
Thus I only call the flop check-raise.
And call down from there.
--CM
It's easy to get results-oriented after seeing that villian capped. However, based solely on the flop C/R, what do we think villian has? Villian likely has a pair. It could be bottom pair, middle pair, top pair, or a pocket pair somewhere in between. We have TPGK, so the only pairs that beat us are AA, AK, and KQ. Of those hands, two would absolutely 3-bet preflop, and the KQ would 3-bet a fair amount of the time as well. As such, we're only behind two pair, a set, or an occasional KQ.
Now, most villians won't even call the BB with 92 or K2, and most will 3-bet KK and a lot of the time 99. That leaves the hands that beat us as K9, 22, KQ (sometimes) and 99 (sometimes). Meanwhile, we're ahead of A2, 33, 44, 55, 66, 77, 88, 69, 79, 89, T9, J9, Q9, A9, K7, K8, and KT. Not to mention heart draws which will C/R us quite a bit of the time as well. Add in the SB that called 1 bet (possibly with a weak draw) and I'd say that strongly argues in favor of a three-bet for value. Wouldn't you?