simo_8ball
Sunday, December 17th, 2006, 5:21 AM
He can win with:
A-A
T-T
J-K
K-J
If there was a spade on the flop he can hit running spades as well.
CODE
Board: Qs Th 6d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 94.4444 % 94.44% 00.00% { QdQh }
Hand 2: 05.5556 % 05.56% 00.00% { AsTs }
The chance of running aces is 3/45 x 2/44 = 6/1980 = 1/330 = 0.3%
Without a spade, he is only 2%.
CODE
Board: Th Qc 6d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 97.9798 % 97.98% 00.00% { QdQh }
Hand 2: 02.0202 % 02.02% 00.00% { AsTs }
I think it qualifies as a bad beat in any case.