Zach6668
Wednesday, December 20th, 2006, 11:29 AM
QUOTE (CoranMoran @ Wednesday, December 20th, 2006, 12:20 PM)

I won't bet the flop with AK on a QJ board vs 4 loose opponents when out of position.
What good can come from it?
--CM
See, I bet a lot on these flops when I have a gutshot + overs. We have as many as 10 outs, we almost certainly have an equity edge here 5 handed.
The odds of it being raised are small at this table, as well, btw. Usually we get calls from a Q, a J, other gutshots, etc.
I don't know about these ranges, but:
CODE
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
2,473,992 games 14.190 secs 174,347 games/sec
Board: Qs Jd 6h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 24.9992 % 24.38% 00.62% { AhKc }
Hand 2: 27.0855 % 25.18% 01.90% { TT-22, AQs-AJs, KTs+, Q2s+, J2s+, AQo, KTo+, Q2o+, J2o+ }
Hand 3: 27.0684 % 25.17% 01.90% { TT-22, AQs-AJs, KTs+, Q2s+, J2s+, AQo, KTo+, Q2o+, J2o+ }
Hand 4: 10.4394 % 09.64% 00.80% { random }
Hand 5: 10.4075 % 09.60% 00.80% { random }
and if we take out two players who folded, as in this spot:
CODE
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
11,340,139 games 18.346 secs 618,125 games/sec
Board: Qs Jd 6h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.1414 % 28.99% 00.15% { AhKc }
Hand 2: 35.4360 % 33.29% 02.15% { TT-22, AQs-AJs, KTs+, Q2s+, J2s+, AQo, KTo+, Q2o+, J2o+ }
Hand 3: 35.4225 % 33.27% 02.15% { TT-22, AQs-AJs, KTs+, Q2s+, J2s+, AQo, KTo+, Q2o+, J2o+ }
I don't know. It's too hard to put these guys on ranges based on PF here, since we don't know any of the flop action when we bet.
Against 4 random hands:
CODE
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
3,041,004 games 14.160 secs 214,760 games/sec
Board: Qs Jd 6h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.2990 % 28.21% 01.09% { AhKc }
Hand 2: 17.6540 % 16.70% 00.95% { random }
Hand 3: 17.6891 % 16.73% 00.96% { random }
Hand 4: 17.7116 % 16.75% 00.96% { random }
Hand 5: 17.6463 % 16.69% 00.96% { random }
or even, say these guys play 40%:
CODE
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
3,713,666 games 32.677 secs 113,647 games/sec
Board: Qs Jd 6h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 20.4185 % 19.02% 01.40% { AhKc }
Hand 2: 19.9120 % 18.78% 01.13% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 3: 19.8874 % 18.77% 01.12% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 4: 19.8612 % 18.74% 01.12% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 5: 19.9210 % 18.80% 01.12% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }