CobaltBlue
Tuesday, November 21st, 2006, 12:59 PM
QUOTE (Whiskey16 @ Tuesday, November 21st, 2006, 10:53 AM)

The calls not horrible, but that's read dependent. Based on the info you just provided, it seems a bit different than assuming you read him as a rock.
If you do call the flop, what you're line on the turn UI? Check/fold to a flush/straight card?
Middle suited boards typically scare me the most when I have a relatively weak holding, since the board is so strong for a number of hands he's calling a flop raise, with. QJ, JT, T9, TT, 99, 87s.
I think the rationale for the fold to the flop raise is the number of cards that improve us, relative to the number of cards that can improve the likely drawing hands that are out there, if we're not already well behind.
Admittedly, though, the raise certainly doesn't seem as though he's trying to protect gainst too many draws.
I read his raise as more of a "feeler" than strength. I find that people put out a lot of these bets/raises when playing short-handed. "Did you hit the flop or are you c-betting?" My action on the turn is going to depend a lot on what pops off and how he reacts. I consider most 8s through 2s to be blanks. I obviously like As and 9s. A T might actually make me feel better. And, depending on what he has, he'll probably slow down to a lot of turns.
Pulled this out of Stove...
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 43.3815 % 43.38% 00.00% { As9h }
Hand 2: 56.6186 % 56.62% 00.00% { 55+, 22, KTs, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 87s, QJo, JTo, T9o }
We're getting 3.75 to 1 on this flop call. I realize that the "easiest" play is to fold and wait for a better situation, but we're short-handed - the most profitable approach to the game isn't always going to leave us with easy decisions.