Actuary
Monday, October 9th, 2006, 8:30 AM
Copernicus,
I gave him much better than 2:1 on the flop
Do you raise more on the flop?
If so, I can't imagine you could still get away from it on the river, since pot would be even bigger (odds better, but more info perhaps)
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most of you know me to overpush.
I sometimes underbet/underrepresent
On flop, I'm really bad about thinking about connectors.
So, my raise was more to see if he had hit a set, and hopefully, I'd find out.
Once he flat calls, I put him on something like KJ/KQ,or junk, or weak made hand, or SET and slow playing
On the turn I decided that I was going to go broke over the next two streets if indeed he had hit his set.
I read him as a loose/bad player, pretty much with almost any hand he has here that beats me. Limping/Calling from UTG with 88/77/KK or 56s with 1600t. I wanted to maximize the chance to get all his chips WHEN I WAS AHEAD.
If he has T9s, well I'm beat on the river and I "played it horribly" according to T.O.P. But that's about the only reasonable? holding to play this way that beats me. With my weak turn call, I think I have a better chance of getting his money when he's way behind and desperate. I was eyeing his stack and see that it's 735 with the BB about to hit him. I think he pushes the river here with any K and worse to try to take the pot, hoping I'm as weak as my play.
If the board wasn't so dry, I'd raise the flop more.
But I think trying to sniff out a set (if he reveals it) or underrepresenting my hand gets more value when he has 1200 left after his flop lead.
Had he pushed the flop, I'd fold; hence the probing raise.
After he didn't, I risked him hitting at most often <6 outs, or being slow played