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ryansd
Ok so who is doing it for sure? Im in. Can't wait to see Big Ben pick apart the Dolphins...and putting an extra G in my pocket. Who else is going to root on the Steel curtain with me?
Zach6668
Will you stake me?

Standard deal, you put the money up, we split profits 50/50, and you absorb the losses.

- Zach
ryansd
haha, if it didnt require sending that much money to someone I don't know, for this bet...id do it in a heart beat. Wish there was another way haha.

To hedge or not to hedge
AceJackOffS
what is the bet I haven't been reading tonight.
Zach6668
QUOTE (ryansd @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 5:18 AM) *
haha, if it didnt require sending that much money to someone I don't know, for this bet...id do it in a heart beat. Wish there was another way haha.

To hedge or not to hedge

lol, I'm sure the sw wasn't required tongue.gif
DanielSon
I'm in Biatches, no hedge! GOOO STEELERS!!!
Marchione
they got my 1150$
go steelers gooooooo !!!!!!

lets hope this doesnt turn out to be another bodog screw job
DanielSon
If it turns out to be a huge scam, they can have my $1100 for doing such a good job. I mean every gambling/poker/sports betting forum out there has threads about this and everyone is making the bet. It would be worth $1100 to see this be a scam...lol...But I hope it isn't....
wilheldp
I'm in. No hedge. GO STEELERS!

QUOTE (Marchione @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 11:27 AM) *
they got my 1150$

Why $1150? The bet was $1100 to win $1000.
Marchione
mansion is 100% legit ~

i just hope they dont pull this offer thats all ~
Marchione
i am going to hedge a small amount just to cover my AZZZ
wilheldp
QUOTE (Marchione @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 1:26 PM) *
i am going to hedge a small amount just to cover my AZZZ

Cover your azz from not losing anything?

Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.

With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.

I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.

Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. wink.gif
dna4ever
QUOTE (wilheldp @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 12:43 PM) *
Cover your azz from not losing anything?

Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.

With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.

I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.

Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. wink.gif



Agreed, I'm in, ALL OR NOTHING BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GO STEELERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
alf13
I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season.
dna4ever
QUOTE (alf13 @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 1:59 PM) *
I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season.

nothing ventured nothing gained
BlinkersOn
QUOTE (dna4ever @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 2:12 PM) *
nothing ventured nothing gained



GL Alan.

Buzzman
dna4ever
QUOTE (BlinkersOn @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 2:46 PM) *
GL Alan.

Buzzman

Sup Buzz,

You playing Thursday? I'll be there.
BlinkersOn
Don't know...was hanging at springwater yesterday and this young (for me biggrin.gif ) woman wants to go to Shakespeare in the park thurs. at 7pm..I may stand her up!
dna4ever
QUOTE (BlinkersOn @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 3:05 PM) *
Don't know...was hanging at springwater yesterday and this young (for me biggrin.gif ) woman wants to go to Shakespeare in the park thurs. at 7pm..I may stand her up!

ohhhhhh man poker vs woman .... good luck with that one.

make ya a deal. you promise not to flop quads when i turn top full house and I'll promise not to bust you this week, sounds fair eh?
Knight_Owl
QUOTE (alf13 @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 11:59 AM) *
I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season.


you have stats or game historys between these two teams to prove it?

btw I"m In! wink.gif
BlinkersOn
QUOTE (dna4ever @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 3:08 PM) *
ohhhhhh man poker vs woman .... good luck with that one.

make ya a deal. you promise not to flop quads when i turn top full house and I'll promise not to bust you this week, sounds fair eh?



Deal! I don't want to sit at your table until we're down to 10.
mrdannyg
QUOTE (wilheldp @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 12:43 PM) *
Cover your azz from not losing anything?

Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.

With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.

I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.

Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. wink.gif


i just realized that recently, and am rethinking hedging. i'll probably put up a small hedge to guarantee myself $100 or so, which will have an EV of about $480, but that's just because i'm a coward.
alf13
QUOTE (Knight_Owl @ Monday, August 28th, 2006, 4:10 PM) *
you have stats or game historys between these two teams to prove it?

btw I"m In! wink.gif



There is some history as far as the Dolphins in the opener as an underdog. (Serious trend)

There is even more history as far as The Dolphins in the opener outright.

As far as styles...the Dolphins are gonna be really good against the run this year, and play "safer coverages" on passing downs, which should keep the score down....so you then go to which Offense is more capable of scoring points...I would take Culpepper, Brown, McMichael, Chambers, Booker in that battle.
ryansd
I agree, I think the Dolphins are really good. Thats why Im hedging smile.gif
Mattafuga
I've placed my bet too, no hedging. I'd be offending my Buffalo Bill blood if I thought there was a slightest chance in all 16 games that Miami could win once. Maybe the best thing we all could do to "hedge" it, is put whatever money we would hedge it with towards a hitman to go after key Dolphin players... dry.gif

If you want $90 for sure (via NETeller), sign up for MANSION through the affiliate in my signature. The bet clears the wagering requirements.
Oziumrules
Nuff Said....Repeat Baby...we always do...

Marchione
better hedge now ~ the line on miami is moving on most site's
everyone has it at 4.0 flat !!!!
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