Standard stuff: Call or fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero (t2015)
UTG (t3885)
Button (t1940)
SB (t5660)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 6.
1 fold, Button raises to t1940, [color=#666666][i]
[SB folds
Hero?

calling 1500 to win 2500 if my math is right. I think you need just a little more than 3:2 to call

fold

fold i want first in vigor

Fold unless ur really trying to accumulate chips, which I doubt

First in vigor is hte name of the game. No need to call of your chips with a hand you are surely behind.

first in Vigor with an M < 3 ?

but, yeah, I'd fold here.
Close though.

your stack can still make the BB fold next hand, and maybe youll get something all little better.

also, never underestimate the chance that two others tangle and you slide into the money.
We all like to push like Harrington tells us; but at sometables, enough action happens that you can back into the money; and with stacks where they are, that could happen here, espcially if they are calling the pushes more often than not

I'm guessing payout structure of 50/30/20?

If so, this isn't close. Fold.



As it stands:

---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------Equity

Player 1
2015.000000-----0.1493-----0.1931-----0.2795-----$18.85
Player 2
3885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3065-----0.2560-----$28.71
Player 3
1940.000000-----0.1437-----0.1870-----0.2737-----$18.27
Player 4
5660.000000-----0.4193-----0.3133-----0.1908-----$34.18


Fold:

---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------Equity

Player 1
1615.000000-----0.1196-----0.1573-----0.2371-----$15.44
Player 2
3885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3012-----0.2610-----$28.65
Player 3
2540.000000-----0.1881-----0.2294-----0.3010-----$22.31
Player 4
5460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3121-----0.2010-----$33.60


Call + win

---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------Equity

Player 1
4155.000000-----0.3078-----0.3334-----0.3588-----$32.57
Player 2
3885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3234-----0.3888-----$31.87
Player 3
0000.000000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----$0.00
Player 4
5460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3432-----0.2523-----$35.57


Call + lose

---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------Equity

Player 1
0075.000000-----0.0056-----0.0084-----0.0170-----$0.87
Player 2
3885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3217-----0.3779-----$31.60
Player 3
4080.000000-----0.3022-----0.3290-----0.3571-----$32.12
Player 4
5460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3409-----0.2480-----$35.41







So, the important figures here are:
Before the hand, our equity is $18.85.

Action-------Equity
Fold---------$15.44
Call/Win-----$32.57
Call/Lose----$0.87


By calling, our potential gain is $32.57 - $15.44 = $17.13,
and our potential loss is $15.44 - $0.87 = $14.57.

What this means is, our ratio of loss to gain is $14.57/$17.13 = 0.85, so we need 1 - 1/(0.85 + 1) = 46% in order to make this a break even call.

If we know he pushes with ANY two cards, we have 45% equity. Any range other than totally random and we are worse.





In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.

Great breakdown and analysis sir, well done

I did fold, and ended up doubling shortly thereafter and actually ended up winning..

Wasnt sure at the time if it was the right fold, but it appears it was...

Ty all

that's what I hear.
Maybe too tight according to proxy quotes I hear..but no 1st hand info.

After reading I probably misapplied some HOH2 ideas and was pushing slightly too hard to early in STT's. Whereas before I always just prayed others would knock each other out.

somewhere in between is where I hope to land

I think Harrington's advice is fairly solid, but a little too tight. I think it can't be too much of a mistake playing overly tight (you won't lose much equity), whereas playing too loose can be very harmful.

I was actually disppointed that his section on bubble play dealt exclusively with hand ranges for calling an allin. He does not give any examples of, say, what to do on the button with QJ or A6 and high blinds if it is folded to you. His ranges for calling allin make for serious strategy changes, so I would expect that normal strategy would be affected significantly as well.
I believe it is somewhat of a glaring error to have a full chapter on bubble play and only consider one small aspect of it.

...but that boys and girls, is a story for another thread.