MrNiceGuy
Saturday, July 29th, 2006, 10:26 AM
QUOTE (AlphaOmega @ Saturday, July 29th, 2006, 7:23 PM)

Yep.
Also, I think you should definitely call a three-bet. A lot of people go on auto-raise when they have two pair and most of the time don't notice that they can't beat overpairs when the board pairs.
I also opted for the check/raise/call line. But I was thinking about it afterwards.
I think villain's most likely range is: KQ(9), K6(6), Q6(6), AK(6), or 66(1). But K6 and Q6 can be discounted somewhat from the preflop call (many players would see a flop, but not everyone), and the AK can be discounted a lot from the preflop just call and the flop cap. (JT, KK, and QQ seem unlikely, but any of these would have me crushed.) Overall, I think I'm ahead a little more than half the time. But I think most of the hands that have me beat will 3-bet, and I'm not sure I'm ahead often enough to risk that (since I'm not even sure that I'd be good 1/16 of the time if villain 3-bet).
I really think the check/raise is a bit too much, and that check/calling is better, although not by much.
Without a read, betting out is pointless, right? Most villains would bet again with AK or KQ, but probably wouldn't raise?
QUOTE (jayboogie @ Saturday, July 29th, 2006, 8:02 PM)

Don't think the hand is all that standard, a turn bet is in order as this is often easily a flush draw that caps to get a free card. AA is still good on this board given the PF action very often.
I thought about leading the turn, but this doesn't seem like a good board for villain to be going overboard with a free card play, as I'm certainly not giving him a free card with KK or QQ, and he can't be sure I would with AA or AK. If I had a draw in villain's spot, I would go for the overcall rather than raise the initial flop bet.
Plus even if villain is on a draw, he won't necessarily take the free card. Also, if he has JT, I'm now drawing dead.