NWNewell
Wednesday, August 9th, 2006, 4:58 AM
QUOTE (AlphaOmega @ Tuesday, August 8th, 2006, 4:59 PM)

A. Why would you want to risk getting three-bet just to knock out one player? Also, we have practically equal chances of knocking someone off of a hand when we face them with two cold, whether it be on the turn or the river. MNG also brings up a good point about how raising this turn minimizes the value of our flush draw.
B. We didn't call this turn planning to raise any river. The river card just facillitates that decision since we are often chopping (or even winning) and raising will often fold other ace high hands that chop with us, earning us the whole pot instead of 1/2.
C. I fail to see how this analyzes this particular hand. At any point in any hand, if you do something and it is "right" in that specific hand, it doesn't make it right for the hand itself when based on hand ranges, situations, opponents, etc. You know this.
D. He could 3-bet, and we could cap, and he could fold. This doesn't mean that raise/capping is correct in this situation. There are always "chances" of something happening but it's essentially useless to say "there is a chance he does this" without quantifying how often the event happens. And I'm nitpicking here but checking and betting this river is essentially the same if SB is full of it (ie we win at showdown when we check, or he folds when we bet and we win. We win the same amount just in different ways).
E. This river is not a stone cold bluff, and whether it is or not doesn't affect whether it is the correct decision for this hand.
A. He is doing that on the river. Why would you want to risk getting three bet on the river instead of the turn?
B. Not calling the turn, intending to bluff the river? Fair enough. But you are probably going to split or loose this pot the majority of the time. Agreed, you will often chase out another Ace. But also, when you do loose, you are often getting 3-bet. So the 3-bet possibility midigates the benifical possibilities of chacing out another Ace (how much, I don't know... I would guess that will vary greatly by opponent).
C. I will agree with that... I was just trying to get at the fact that you can gain the same info on the SB and put people to a similar decision and possibly get away cheaper by acting on the turn instead of the river.
D. I hate capping the turn and betting out on the river when the SB has shown agression the whole way and 3-bet my raise OOP.
E. As I said in 'B', I think we chop or lose the majority of the time. I think the possibility of a 3-bet strongly midigates the possibility of chasing out another Ace when we would hve otherwise chopped. So, it may not be totally a "stone cold bluff", but I fail to believe we are raising for value.
Anyway... I always like to have outs to help bail me out when my dumb moves backfire! lol... so, having the nut flush draw makes the turn move more attractive to me. If I think A-high might win would rather call and split the third opponents money than be faced with calling a 3-bet or possibly being bluffed out of the pot. If I raise the river, I'm kicking my a$$ if the SB 3-bets.
But hey.... I suck at poker

, so take my opinions with a grain of salt!! That's half the reason I post my opinions.... so I can get other peoples rebuttals and hopefully better opinions!