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Full Version: Calling A Big All-in On A Draw
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > No Limit Texas Hold'em Cash Games
mrdannyg
No hand history, but basically:

$25 NL 6-Max Party Table

BB ($40)
Hero - MP ($30) - As, 2s

couple folds, Hero raises to $1, couple folds, bb calls.

Flop: 3s, 4s, Jd

bb goes all-in, hero ???

The pot is tiny compared to the all-in, so is this a simple pot odds question, or are there other factors? If we can discount AA and sets, we're a favourite, so can we discount those enough to call here?
Mattnxtc
as long as you arent against a set your pretty even and this can be called or folded based on what you think the villians possible holdings are
Jordan
Fold.

- Jordan
iggymcfly
It's 25 NL; I say call it. At this level, you're crap opponent might even have a lower flush draw or something that you're dominating. If he's playing smash with a set, you don't lose that much since you still have 12 outs. I guess if villian's been folding a lot and is really giving you reason to believe he's playing Smash, you could fold, but against an unknown opponent at this level, I think this is a definite call.
mrdannyg
QUOTE (Jordan @ Tuesday, July 25th, 2006, 11:37 PM) *
Fold.

- Jordan


can you elaborate?

QUOTE (iggymcfly @ Wednesday, July 26th, 2006, 12:04 AM) *
It's 25 NL; I say call it. At this level, you're crap opponent might even have a lower flush draw or something that you're dominating. If he's playing smash with a set, you don't lose that much since you still have 12 outs. I guess if villian's been folding a lot and is really giving you reason to believe he's playing Smash, you could fold, but against an unknown opponent at this level, I think this is a definite call.


this was basically my thoughts.
on one hand, most players at that level play a set terribly, and on the other, there are not many hands other than a set that he makes such a ridiculous bet with.

this was not my hand by the way since I don't play NL, but I did tell my friend that he can probably discount AA/set enough that a call is fine, even with a negligible pot size.
Jordan
Oh, I'd call at $25nl cause I don't care about $25.

I was thinking in terms of buy ins though.

Would you call this at $200nl for an entire stack with just $6 invested?

or at $400nl with $14 or w/e invested?

- Jordan
CobaltBlue
Against this range...

JJ+,44-33,AJs,KJs,QJs,JTs,65s,AJo,KJo,QJo

We're almost exactly 50%. With the money in the pot, we're getting the tiniest of overlays. So basically, it depends on if you want to flip a coin. Probably depends on my mood on whether I'd call it. (I certainly prefer to be the one pushing.)
pokerplayer24
QUOTE (Jordan @ Tuesday, July 25th, 2006, 10:39 PM) *
Oh, I'd call at $25nl cause I don't care about $25.

I was thinking in terms of buy ins though.

Would you call this at $200nl for an entire stack with just $6 invested?

or at $400nl with $14 or w/e invested?

- Jordan


Agreed

No need to put your $ in when the pot is this small and its unlikely ur edge is very big if it exists at all.
fckthis
Im with the other posts. Fold. Your flipping a coin here.
mrdannyg
QUOTE (Jordan @ Wednesday, July 26th, 2006, 1:39 AM) *
Oh, I'd call at $25nl cause I don't care about $25.

I was thinking in terms of buy ins though.

Would you call this at $200nl for an entire stack with just $6 invested?

or at $400nl with $14 or w/e invested?

- Jordan


i don't care if its $25 or $200. its a buy-in. if I have a known 1% edge, of course I'd call an all-in for my stack. not the case here necessarily, but as a recreational player, i suggest that he should be willing to call an all-in with any edge/overlay, though that may not be the case if bankroll or anything is a question.

QUOTE (CobaltBlue @ Wednesday, July 26th, 2006, 3:00 AM) *
Against this range...

JJ+,44-33,AJs,KJs,QJs,JTs,65s,AJo,KJo,QJo

We're almost exactly 50%. With the money in the pot, we're getting the tiniest of overlays. So basically, it depends on if you want to flip a coin. Probably depends on my mood on whether I'd call it. (I certainly prefer to be the one pushing.)


Thats a good-looking range. I don't see many hands you could disclude there, so it depends on the weights you assign to a set, and the possibility of other flush draws.

I really wasn't expecting responses from some of you guys like cobalt and pp24, but I'm a bit surprised you guys mostly said to fold.
i told him calling was probably correct, but initially i weighted something like a lower flush draw higher than a set, whereas most of you seem to think a set is pretty likely.
AlphaOmega
I'd fold it since the pot is small, and anyone who overbets like that can easily be expoited for a bigger edge later on.
XXEddie
fold. youve only put in $1, why put in 30 more with just a draw, albeit a very large draw. You can certainly wait for better spots
Lavitz
QUOTE (mrdannyg @ Wednesday, July 26th, 2006, 8:06 AM) *
i don't care if its $25 or $200. its a buy-in. if I have a known 1% edge, of course I'd call an all-in for my stack. not the case here necessarily, but as a recreational player, i suggest that he should be willing to call an all-in with any edge/overlay, though that may not be the case if bankroll or anything is a question.
Thats a good-looking range. I don't see many hands you could disclude there, so it depends on the weights you assign to a set, and the possibility of other flush draws.

I really wasn't expecting responses from some of you guys like cobalt and pp24, but I'm a bit surprised you guys mostly said to fold.
i told him calling was probably correct, but initially i weighted something like a lower flush draw higher than a set, whereas most of you seem to think a set is pretty likely.


No need to push miniature edges at these limits, or any limits where you feel you have enough skill to profit. Flipping coins (Yes, a 1-5% edge might as well be flipping coins.) is -EV in other ways, such as losing a huge pot over a noninfluential amount of money in the center when you put it all in is probably going to affect you by putting you on tilt in some manner and give you the attitude youre playing catch up and you could start making plays further down that could affect you negatively.

We're poker players, not gamblers. Anytime you CALL a push with 50-55% edge that might as well be gambling.
simo_8ball
At $25NL you should be able to take his money quite easily by folding here. Against a player who will open push here I would expect to be able to find a decent edge somewhere else against him. Calling isn't a mistake, but against a weak opponent I prefer folding.
Mattnxtc
QUOTE (Jordan @ Tuesday, July 25th, 2006, 11:39 PM) *
Oh, I'd call at $25nl cause I don't care about $25.

I was thinking in terms of buy ins though.

Would you call this at $200nl for an entire stack with just $6 invested?

or at $400nl with $14 or w/e invested?

- Jordan


problem with this reasoning is that at 200nl people play a lot better than at 25nl so you have to make adjustments. At 25nl you are often either ahead or at least even...so player dependent u can make this call and be +ev a lot
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