Lavitz
Tuesday, July 25th, 2006, 11:09 PM
QUOTE (nomad_monad @ Tuesday, July 25th, 2006, 5:59 PM)

i understand the obligation angle - i just don't see too many non-air hands that play like this all the way to the river that we are now ahead of that would feel obligated even with such good odds. i mean, even if the villain oddly played something like 99/TT, or now finds his 8x (x not being J) counterfeited, it still seems like he'd be really pressed to call even getting better than 3-1 with trips/house, str8, and flush all being possible hands that beat him.
Jx and overpair definitely pays a push off here - but man, that would be a really odd way to play them.
There arent even many JX hands we have beat with so many undercards, most logical being J9 and J10.
If villian is bluffing he's not calling any more anyways, call the bet on the river. Every draw hit, including straight on turn. Maybe at these stacks a push is profitable in some situations but it would be good to not get in the habit of it because as you progress then these are kinds of pushes that will kill you. Of course you dont have much left in stack but better to save 15-20BB if possible because this board is not a friendly one against villian's agression unless he is weak or overly agressive with mediocre hands.