Lavitz
Saturday, July 22nd, 2006, 4:29 PM
QUOTE (hotbacon @ Friday, July 21st, 2006, 10:19 PM)

Calling is better than pushing here.
The 140 more you risk on pushing doesn't fold many more hands that yhou aren't beating anyway. I would just fold as played. I may call with a strong read, but I think pushing here is completly out of the question. A 60/20/3 isn't folding 9x or better here.
But bet the flop.
1.) Im getting
AK-AJ to fold which have me beat. If he raised connectors and caught part I cant see them calling that as well (56,67,78,89) as the river counterfeited any lower two pair and if he had OESD it didn't come through and what he caught isnt enough to call that. I surely cant see him calling TP 8 kicker to an all in if he had 89.
2.) 20% PFR isnt that out of hand and he did raise p-flop. That basically means he raises typical raising hands and maybe a little more (maybe suited connectors, weaker aces) Other then A9 or 99, none hit and why on earth would you check A9 on that flop, WHY check the turn, even with 99? Makes no sense. Maybe checking flop but checking turn on such a board with a monster is absurd. 60/20/3 would be more prone to fold this then a 25/25/1. Do you know why? The LAG is agressive and is more likely to bet with nothing or a weak hand. This doesnt mean he will CALL with pathetic hands.
QUOTE (TRHScc814 @ Friday, July 21st, 2006, 10:37 PM)

60/20 is nutso calling station not lag. Why didn't you bet the flop? Check/minraising the turn is bad.
I didnt checkraise and I also stated that obviously a continuation bet is the standard here so when he checked I decided to take a free card to the nuts.
QUOTE (screech @ Saturday, July 22nd, 2006, 12:23 PM)

I reraise preflop.
As is, I bet the flop and am willing to push if he reraises. If I check, I check behind the turn too. I dont reraise the river either. Villian is the type that would push with your hand, so he will probably get suspicouis and look you up with anything that beats you.
Reraise p-flop? His 20%PFR isnt that out of line and how much would you raise too? 18? I'm not a maniac and I don't like reraising with much less then AK or a PP. Occasionally suited conenctors but his looseness p-flop in calling already tells me I will get called and then go to the flop feeling unsafe catching anything less then two pair.
I would have probably reraised him if he bet but his check seemed sketchy so I decided to take a free card. Pushing over a reraise if I bet on this flop seems -EV. He will almost always have me killed and probably down to my flush draw. Not a big fan of pushing over obvious strength with a flush draw.
Not sure why were checking turn when we just picked up some more outs and he seems totally uninterested in pot with the check. I can understand not reraising river but I don't see many opponents calling pushes with less then TP at tables and why would he play 9 so passively? I've shown some strength in the hand so I don't suspect he's going to wake up with a killer read and make an amazing call with AK high.