rusmac31
Thursday, June 8th, 2006, 2:21 PM
I think this is tough because you really need to re-re-raise him, but any legitimate re-raise (pot is $20...you really should re-raise to $25 total) is going to commit you to the pot (I don't particular like your re-re-raise to $16 as you are giving him 5-1 to call which is a great price for any reasonable draw)...
You said he was LAG so I'd say his range is Ahxh, xhxh, AQ, AJ, A7, A2, maybe A10, 77 and 22. I would think if he had the set...he wouldn't be dumb enough to min raise as he'd be giving you odds to chase the flush. I'd also think that if he had Ahxh, he'd get all his chips in on the flop as it would eliminate his positional disadvantage, he has fold equity and boat load of outs.
Therefore I'd put him on AQ, AJ, A7, A2, Ahxh or xhxh and a low probability of a set (in that order). I'd rule out a bluff unless you have a read that says otherwise.
You crush 2 hands, are ahead of 1 and are coin flip or behind all others.
Options (in order of my preference):
1. You have position, call the re-raise and see what he does on the turn. Unless another A or K hits, check fold.
2. Fold to his min-raise on the flop...probably seems weak but if he really has it he's going to bet the turn and why call the flop only to fold the turn.
3. Raise all-in on the flop...I like this option the least as his play has indicated he likes his hand or draw.
It's only top pair/top kicker and at these lower levels, there are plenty of opportunities to get your money in with better information. You've only committed 10% - 15% of your stack; once I learned to fold top pair/top kicker in these type of situations, I started making more money. You are going to fold some winners but I've also realized that that's ok to do every once in awhile too.
my 2 cents...