shpaget
Thursday, May 25th, 2006, 2:01 PM
QUOTE (goheels @ Thursday, May 25th, 2006, 1:22 PM)

shpaget...what's your line? Check, let UTG take the lead and see what UTG+1 does? if it's UTG all in then UTG +1 fold - do you call?
Yes and yes.
Based on your reads, 6 hands kill you (JJ/TT) and 6 hands you like (QQ), and you have slightly better odds at beating JJ/TT than QQ has beating you.
Long-term this is almost even though there is some dead money in the pot...I'd like to see if we can get some more of it in there.
Factor in that you think he may have AK, he may fold to a lead bet...you'd rather check and let him cb his remaining chips with AK.
And, even though you discount it, factor in AA and you REALLY need some more money from utg+1 to make this profitable.
I don't even have a problem with pushing all-in after utg+1 calls 1700 (though I'd rather see all his chips in there), but even getting that extra dead money in there with you heads up against utg ensures the hand's long-term profitability.
QUOTE (cdipierr @ Thursday, May 25th, 2006, 1:39 PM)

I'm still having a hard time with a check because let's assume UTG flopped their set. If you check and they check to trap, you're giving a free card to UTG+1 if he's drawing.
And since we do want UTG+1 for a sidepot, and since you seem to think UTG+1 will call our push, where's the problem in pushing? You can't have it both ways, either you think UTG+1 will call or you don't. If you think he will, then there's no "scaring him off". However, if we end up giving a free card, we'll hate ourselves for it later if UTG+1 hits.
We push, UTG calls, UTG+1 is getting better than 2:1 on a draw, so he calls, and we're in good for the sidepot against UTG+1. If UTG+1 folds to our push, we're not getting a sidepot with him where we're ahead anyway. Do you really think it's going to go: check, check, UTG+1 leads out with AJ? I don't think so.
How about check, utg pushes, and utg+1 calls, then you can call or push.
As nomad stated, you're not pricing him out of the pot on the flop, (though he still may fold depending on what draw he really has) but you could on the turn.
How about waiting for the turn and making your decision then - you can price him out of the pot there AND if he does call it would be a mistake (your ultimate goal)...if he calls on the flop he's not making a mistake.
Giving a free card isn't a bad move if your opponent's call would be a correct play...instead of him paying for two cards, make him pay for only 1, and see if he makes a mistake.