screech
Wednesday, May 24th, 2006, 8:50 AM
QUOTE (Verdimme @ Wednesday, May 24th, 2006, 8:28 AM)

That doesn't make sense. If he wanted to protect, he could have done that on the flop. What is he leading out with, that he is c/ring the turn with?
It makes plenty of sense. If he had a strong hand, he would typically lead the turn, hoping to trap the other player, and not shut him out. Who know's what hands he is doing it with. Maybe a pair + a flush draw. All I know is that if he has AQ beat, then his play doesn't really make sense.
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To me it seems like he wants to stop and go me. Call me stupid, but I've learned that most of the time it beats TPTK.
Or maybe he was trying to bet/3-bet you. Or maybe he is distracted and forgets how the action went. Who knows? Maybe he's seen you make folds like tihs in the past, and is raising Tx because he thinks you fold too much.
I'm not going to call you stupid, because you're not. But you are getting over 6:1 to call down. So while most of the time he may have TPTK beat, a significant % of the time he won't. I would guess you are good here at least 25% of the time.
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Also, this guy is not an idiot. I've raised preflop, missed on the flop..and now I'm betting when an ace shows up. From his perspective, its very likely I have that ace.
Of course it is. But that doesn't necessarily mean you have a strong ace. YOu isolated a loose limper. He could play this way with Ad9d.
Also, his flop lead, turn check/raise signals anything but a monster. And if plays a monster this way, then he is an idiot and you can't trust him enough not to call down. Either way, the fold looks pretty bad.