Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) econ_tim is UTG with 7 7
econ_tim raises, CO calls, Button folds, SB 3-bets, BB folds, econ_tim calls, CO calls.

Flop: 9 8 4 (8.5SB, 3 players)
SB bets, econ_tim raises, CO folds, SB calls.

Turn: 6 (6.25BB, 2 players)
SB checks, econ_tim bets, SB calls.

River: J (8.25BB, 2 players)
SB checks, econ_tim checks.

Results:
Final pot: 8.25BB



villain is 56/40/1 over small sample



ok?? i really think i'm good on the river, but don't want to risk getting c/red (which i would have to call because i don't trust villain).

looks fine to me with villain on those stats. nh.

I really wouldn't like betting the river here.
You have to keep in mind that a x/40's 3betting range includes A8/K9 type hands, and he could easily be planning a CR.
nh.

I like it. Btw tim, does'nt full tilt have tough cash games?

sometimes the games are tight, but they aren't full of expert players. the hard part is finding an open seat.

BET RIVER!

Villain won't be check raising the river with A8/K9.
But he will call down with it and beat you.

AJ/KJs may check raise you.

Those seem to be the only hands you must fear.
Overpairs would have given you more action earlier.





I suppose he may still call a river bet with a big Ace.

So you would need to weigh the odds of him making this crying call vs the odds that he has one of the hands mentioned above.


--cm

if this is a value bet, it's pretty thin

villain will pay off with AK, AQ, AT and 55 maybe

possible check/raises coming from KJ, AJ, QJ QT and air

and there is some possibility of A8s or K8s

I don't really want to pay off a check/raise here, or face one for that matter, so I check behind as well. If the villain was very unlikely to c/r, I'd bet without even thinking about it though.

why? if we get called, I'm not sure how much he's calling us with that we beat enough to be good 55% of the time, and we have to fold to a CR. Looks like a pretty easy check to me

Bet the river and watch him call with ace high.