My local B@M runs a tournament every Tuesday night. I played last night and this hand is within the first orbit. The starting stacks are $2500, blinds are $25-$50. I have a great read on the villian- That is critical to this question.
SB $2200
BB $2500
UTG $2500
Hero $2400
MP $2900
Villian $2600
MP3 $2500
co $2500
Button $2500
Dealt to Hero K
UTG Folds, Hero raise $200, MP calls $200, Villian Calls $200, Button Calls $200, blinds fold. $875 in pot
Flop J 9 2 rainbow.
Hero bets $800, MP folds, Villian Calls $800 Button Folds $2475 in pot
Turn 10
At this point some information. when the villian called the flop he really did not want to call. I was 100% certain that he was behind on the flop. I was 90% certain that the turn did not help him. His range is either AX or a PP, he would not call pre flop with a hand like KQ, J10, 78. So unless he had pocket 10's I was still ahead and a huge favorite.
I also know that if I push he might go away, but If I check he is likely to fire at the pot. The question then is- Do I go all in here and take the chips in the middle, or check raise him all in and try to get the rest of his chips. The check raise gives him a maybe 15% chance of sucking out. (I figure the villian for between 2 and 6 outs)
I am dead certain of my read, just questioning how I played it. Is pushing and closing the action now and stacking $4000 in chips better then trying to get villian's last $1400.
