I posted this over at 2 plus 2. Thought I would throw it out here also.
Hello. No hand here, at least not a real one to analyze. But I have some questions about how you guys play your continuation bets when you were the preflop raiser (especailly out of position). I play at full tilt mostly, and they have that handy bet pot button, which gets quite a bit of use from many players. Keep in mind I'm mostly playing 50NL and 100NL. I have taken to rarely using the bet pot button because it makes my continuation bets more difficult. It seems that to a lot of players if you bet less than the pot they look at it as a sign of weekness. So if there is a 10 dollar pot and I flop a set out of position I will usually lead at it for 8 or 9. Some people see this as weekness and will reraise or call when they otherwise wouldn't have. But say You raise AK under the gun and completely whiff. Two callers, all full stacks, what is your continuation bet. Or say one caller. A situation where you are making a continuation bet based on your preflop strength. How much do you bet?
I bring this up because I was just going over Harrington on Hold'em again. He says he likes to bet about 1/2 the pot. This is great because it gives your opponent 3 to 1 odds on the call and you only have to win 1 in 3 to break even. (I know this is a tourny book but I think this is relavent to cash games) I am a tight and aggressive player, sometimes too tight to a fault I've just recently noticed. I looked the other night at my stats and I had only played 20% of the hands through 900 hands( I don't have pokertracker yet I'm on a mac computer). Because I play tight my raises and continuation bets usually get respect and I have a lot of success with them. But because of that bet pot button I find I have to bet more like 2/3 the pot, which is kind of a lot for a flop you whiffed. I do this so that I don't look to weak, and if they are paying attention will notice that my bets aren't that far off when I have a big hand or nothing.
I've noticed myself that if a player only bets half the pot on say a Q 7 4 flop, and I have a pair of 9's or mabye even nothing. I will often call if in position because if he checks the turn, or bets weak I can take the pot away from him. This probably wasn't real well writen, but I think (hope?) you guys probably see what I'm getting at. So I just wanted to hear your thoughts. I think this is a very important part of being a winning player. Since you wiff so many of the flops you raise with hands like AK AQ. Didn't mean to ramble, was just looking for some thoughts, thanks again.
