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FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > No Limit Texas Hold'em Cash Games
DrZebra
Seat 1: ( $408.59 )
Seat 2: ( $243 )
Seat 4: ( $228 )
Seat 5: ( $400.05 )
Seat 6: ( $323.86 )
Seat 3: DrZebra ( $133 )
s6 posts small blind [$1].
s1 posts big blind [$2].

Dealt to DrZebra J icon_suit_club.gif A icon_suit_club.gif

s2 folds.
DrZebra raises [$7].
s4 folds.
s5 folds.
s6 calls [$6].
s1 raises [$24].
DrZebra calls [$19].
s6 calls [$19].

(72) Q icon_suit_heart.gif 6 icon_suit_club.gif K icon_suit_club.gif

s6 bets [$10].
s1 raises [$50].

DrZebra pushes??????
...I think I'm too short to think twice...(pf a little loose)
MasterLJ
12 outs to the absolute nuts, with 1 of those outs killing all hands possible. This, plus fold equity will put you ahead most of the time.

Good hand.
gooch
QUOTE (DrZebra @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 1:17 PM) *
Seat 1: ( $408.59 )
Seat 2: ( $243 )
Seat 4: ( $228 )
Seat 5: ( $400.05 )
Seat 6: ( $323.86 )
Seat 3: DrZebra ( $133 )
s6 posts small blind [$1].
s1 posts big blind [$2].

Dealt to DrZebra J icon_suit_club.gif A icon_suit_club.gif

s2 folds.
DrZebra raises [$7].
s4 folds.
s5 folds.
s6 calls [$6].
s1 raises [$24].
DrZebra calls [$19].
s6 calls [$19].

(72) Q icon_suit_heart.gif 6 icon_suit_club.gif K icon_suit_club.gif

s6 bets [$10].
s1 raises [$50].

DrZebra pushes??????
...I think I'm too short to think twice...(pf a little loose)


I'm thinking AK and he wants everyone out of there, though QQ and KK are possible too, you've got 4 tens and 8 clubs to find and make it.

I'm pretty sure I'd make a go of it
DrZebra
QUOTE (MasterLJ @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 1:23 PM) *
12 outs to the absolute nuts, with 1 of those outs killing all hands possible. This, plus fold equity will put you ahead most of the time.

Good hand.


Only qualm is that fold equity is zero because i'm short-stacked.
I guess that's my main question.
But I would still want to race right?
Swift_Psycho
I fold to the pre-flop re-raise, but post-flop yes, I push.
Scott3705
QUOTE (MasterLJ @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 12:23 PM) *
12 outs to the absolute nuts, with 1 of those outs killing all hands possible. This, plus fold equity will put you ahead most of the time.

Good hand.


We have very little fold equity here. We've only got $59 to throw on top of this pot. that doesn't make pushing wrong, but still we have no fold equity.

I think pushing is fine, my only thought is whether the SB is gonig to come along if you flat call. If we're sure he will, I'd almost rather keep him in since I doubt we make BB fold here very often and the SB would be drawing dead and sticking more money in the pot. in which case, we get str8 pot odds for the turn and river.
MasterLJ
QUOTE (DrZebra @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 1:28 PM) *
Only qualm is that fold equity is zero because i'm short-stacked.
I guess that's my main question.
But I would still want to race right?


Btw, I agree with folding to the PF raise... but yeah, the money already committed to the pot via pre-flop raises makes this profitable (you are something like 48%). I certainly could see your opponent folding 2% of the time (1 in 50). There is fold equity there for AK... albeit miniscule.

QUOTE (Scott3705 @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 1:31 PM) *
We have very little fold equity here. We've only got $59 to throw on top of this pot. that doesn't make pushing wrong, but still we have no fold equity.

I think pushing is fine, my only thought is whether the SB is gonig to come along if you flat call. If we're sure he will, I'd almost rather keep him in since I doubt we make BB fold here very often and the SB would be drawing dead and sticking more money in the pot. in which case, we get str8 pot odds for the turn and river.


I was torn there too (getting the other dude to come along). Calling here *may* be good, then jamming/calling the rest of your chips to anything but a board-pairing card on the turn. Somehow I don't think the initial bettor was even intending to call the $50 raise.
jjgoldy5
Smooth call to bring along seat 1 for our draw.... icon_suit_heart.gif Growing our Pot Odds
Jay-Dub
Should you push, I think it's safe to assume s6 will fold. Worse case scenario is you're up against a set of K's, you're still only 2:1 dog. Up against AK you're 45%, KQ 40%, and AA your 45%. I believe pushing is the correct play here. I'm curious to know what happened. GL!
tapeworm
QUOTE (Jay-Dub @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 1:39 PM) *
Should you push, I think it's safe to assume s6 will fold. Worse case scenario is you're up against a set of K's, you're still only 2:1 dog. Up against AK you're 45%, KQ 40%, and AA your 45%. I believe pushing is the correct play here. I'm curious to know what happened. GL!

Why do you want S6 to fold? Since you are drawing to nut outs and have *nothing* right now, I agree with people that said calling is better if it entices S6 to call with a worse draw(10-J, lower flush). If he is on a lower flush draw, you lose outs, but you prefer him in the hand.

I'd only push if you thought you had fold equity, but it doesn't seem like you do and you being inthe hand and having a better read on villain, thinks so to.

If you prefer lower variance, you could fold since even with your draw I htink you are behind villains range, but I think you have sufficient pot odds to make calling a correct play too. You'd be forced to call any turn too. Although....you *may* consider folding if board pairs, but you are probably pot-commited and hsould call in case villain does not have a set. Reallt, this is one of the best possible flops you could hope for, so folding seems silly, since you called PF.
JacKingOff_suit
Easy call but not a push.

If you get there you will sure get paid because your short.

You want more money in because your short and because your drawing. The more the callers the better your pot odds is.

Edited: put it another way. You have zero fold equity. But by getting more players in you increase your pot equity. And if your draw doesn't get there, you might be able to save a few bucks although chance is slim because the raiser is likely to push you in on the turn.
krup24
QUOTE (JacKingOff_suit @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 2:15 PM) *
Easy call but not a push.

If you get there you will sure get paid because your short.

You want more money in because your short and because your drawing. The more the callers the better your pot odds is.

Edited: put it another way. You have zero fold equity. But by getting more players in you increase your pot equity. And if your draw doesn't get there, you might be able to save a few bucks although chance is slim because the raiser is likely to push you in on the turn.


I like this analysis. Our chips are gonna be in on the turn anyway might as well try and beef up the pot as much as possible.
Jay-Dub
Hmm... I'm starting to rethink my original opinion. I still think it'd be hard for s1 to call the $40, but I haven't been playing with him. Even if s1 doesn't call after you do, and s6 puts you in on the turn (assuming it was of no help) you'll still be getting 4:1 to call with one card left. Not bad. And if s1 does call, your pot odds will be even jucier. OK then. Next time I'll think before I speak blush.gif
krup24
QUOTE (Jay-Dub @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 3:07 PM) *
Hmm... I'm starting to rethink my original opinion. I still think it'd be hard for s1 to call the $40, but I haven't been playing with him. Even if s1 doesn't call after you do, and s6 puts you in on the turn (assuming it was of no help) you'll still be getting 4:1 to call with one card left. Not bad. And if s1 does call, your pot odds will be even jucier. OK then. Next time I'll think before I speak blush.gif


No need to think before you speak, all of us here change our thoughts/analysis time and again. Thats why we all post here for insight/knowledge.
XXEddie
QUOTE (MasterLJ @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 12:23 PM) *
12 outs to the absolute nuts, with 1 of those outs killing all hands possible. This, plus fold equity will put you ahead most of the time.

Good hand.


what out kills all other hands
offset
QUOTE
...I think I'm too short to think twice...(pf a little loose)


You're call preflop is a lot worse than anything you can do on the flop.

You say preflop is "a little loose," but knowing that and doing nothing about it saves you no money. Before you focus on flop decisions of what amounts to small variations of equity, concentrate on refining your preflop skills to the point where you know and implement the right decision on a consistent basis.
DrZebra
QUOTE (offset @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 7:01 PM) *
You're call preflop is a lot worse than anything you can do on the flop.

You say preflop is "a little loose," but knowing that and doing nothing about it saves you no money. Before you focus on flop decisions of what amounts to small variations of equity, concentrate on refining your preflop skills to the point where you know and implement the right decision on a consistent basis.


thanks,god
Naismith
If you're planning to be all in regardless, I say call and push the turn. If you lose your nerve and fold a blanked turn, push it all in now.

Either way, tell us what happened! smile.gif
DrZebra
QUOTE (Naismith @ Thursday, April 27th, 2006, 1:38 PM) *
Either way, tell us what happened! smile.gif

not that it matters, but Ak dodges running jacks and 12 outs twice.
offset
QUOTE (DrZebra @ Thursday, April 27th, 2006, 1:18 PM) *
thanks,god


Huh? My avatar?

You're welcome, I guess. lol.
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