Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3
4 6 
MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
Full Version: Last Hand Of The Nigt
1/2
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3 4 6
MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3
4 6 MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
What do you have?
QUOTE (nickforgot @ Tuesday, April 25th, 2006, 5:45 PM) 
What do you have?
whats it matter, CO has top set
QUOTE (Kaedin @ Tuesday, April 25th, 2006, 5:48 PM)
whats it matter, CO has top set
I disagree. This looks like a flush draw...maybe even A5d.
With as much as you have, I'd probably call, but I hate folding.
Looks like a pretty easy fold to me.
If he has a flush draw with two overs, he's winning (53% to 47%).
If he has a set, which is very reasonable by the way, he's murdering you (87% to 13%).
If he has an overpair he's murdering you (88% to 12%).
If he has a straight with 57 or something, you're dead in the water (94% to 6%).
If he has a random two pair, he's far ahead (70% to 30%).
Ad5d (as listed above) is ahead (60% to 40%).
Against a lot of hands that he could have, all put together and pokerstoved, he is about 70% (including air, overcards, flushdraws, sets, two pairs, etc).
What are we actually beating that he does this with? A bluff? If he has overcards he beats us about 27% of the time. Are we going to put a ton of chips on the line thinking that he has total air?
Ps. Were you playing against Smasharoo?
If he has a flush draw with two overs, he's winning (53% to 47%).
If he has a set, which is very reasonable by the way, he's murdering you (87% to 13%).
If he has an overpair he's murdering you (88% to 12%).
If he has a straight with 57 or something, you're dead in the water (94% to 6%).
If he has a random two pair, he's far ahead (70% to 30%).
Ad5d (as listed above) is ahead (60% to 40%).
Against a lot of hands that he could have, all put together and pokerstoved, he is about 70% (including air, overcards, flushdraws, sets, two pairs, etc).
What are we actually beating that he does this with? A bluff? If he has overcards he beats us about 27% of the time. Are we going to put a ton of chips on the line thinking that he has total air?
Ps. Were you playing against Smasharoo?
QUOTE (Scott3705 @ Tuesday, April 25th, 2006, 5:43 PM)
1/2
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3 4 6
MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3
4 6 MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
Fold, he has you beat for sure with either a straight, 2 pair or a set. Unless you read that he is a real bad player and will push with very weak hands, I opt for folding.
QUOTE (Scott3705 @ Tuesday, April 25th, 2006, 5:43 PM)
1/2
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3 4 6
MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
Hero ($1200)
MP2 villain ($350)
Co villain ($140)
MP3 raises to 6, I call in MP3 and CO calls.
FLOP (3 players, $20ish)
3
4 6 MP3 checks, I bet $20, CO raises all in, Mp3 folds.
edit: sorry i have 88
i would call with a big stack and race against his flush draw/overs.
QUOTE (Dratj @ Tuesday, April 25th, 2006, 6:48 PM)
Fold, he has you beat for sure with either a straight, 2 pair or a set. Unless you read that he is a real bad player and will push with very weak hands, I opt for folding.
Yeah, I thought this was an easy fold too. Fortunately/unfortunately, I misclicked the call button. Villain had 77 here. the only hand I was crushing. During the hand, I really didn't give him credit for hat much and thought I was ahead more times than not. Only thing was that when I was ahead, I didn't think I was very far ahead and when I was behind, I was way behind.
QUOTE (Scott3705 @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 7:11 AM)
Yeah, I thought this was an easy fold too. Fortunately/unfortunately, I misclicked the call button. Villain had 77 here. the only hand I was crushing. During the hand, I really didn't give him credit for hat much and thought I was ahead more times than not. Only thing was that when I was ahead, I didn't think I was very far ahead and when I was behind, I was way behind.
This is the best ending to one of these stories, EVER.
LLYorke's post is dead on, and conveys the point very well, and your intuition matches up to his data nicely.
QUOTE (AceyDeucy @ Wednesday, April 26th, 2006, 6:48 AM)
This is the best ending to one of these stories, EVER.
LLYorke's post is dead on, and conveys the point very well, and your intuition matches up to his data nicely.
LLYorke's post is dead on, and conveys the point very well, and your intuition matches up to his data nicely.
Well like i said, forunately/UNFORTUNATELY, I misclicked. He caught the 5
This is a "lo-fi" version of our main content. To view the full version with more information, formatting and images, please click here.