NWNewell
Sunday, March 5th, 2006, 9:51 PM
QUOTE (Zach6668` @ Monday, March 6th, 2006, 12:05 AM)

If he's behind, he's drawing to 2 or 3 outs. I have no problem letting him bet for me. I don't want to scare him off if he b/f's the turn. Let him bet until the river. That is the idea behind the wa/wb line.
- Zach
I can understand that... but I still like the check raise on the turn better. you get to see where you stand for the same mount of money. And if you are way ahead and he is going to call you down on your river bet, whos to say he won't call the check raise on the turn and a bet on the river.
If he is going to bet/fold the turn, then he is probably going to fold to a bet on the river, unless he catches his out on the river. So you are not going to get anymore money out if him with either play.
This is they way I see it.
Option 1: check/raise the flop, fold to a re-raise:
You are able to define your and for only 2 small bets, saving three small bets. But you never get to see the cards so you have to rely on your read.
Option 2: check/call the flop, check/call the turn, bet the river:
For 5 small bets you give him 2 cards to catch against you instead of only 1 card.
Option 3: check/call the flop, check/raise the turn:
For the same 5 small bets, you define your hand. You put your opponent to a decision against what you must think is a very strong hand and making him pay to draw. If he is ahead, he'll probably check raise and you can dump your hand for the same cost as Option 2. But you put more pressure on your opponent to fold, and you lower his drawing odds, making his call even worse than his bet on the turn. And if he is going to fold to the check/raise on the turn, then he is going to fold to the bet on the river (unless he caught his card to beat you).
So, if you are behind, Option 2 and 3 are going to cost you the same = 5 small bets
If you are ahead, Option 2 and 3 are going to win you at least the same number of bets, or your opponent might call the check raise, and maybe even the river. So you will win 5 or 6 small bets (from the flop on) with Option 2 or 3. But could possibly win 7 small bets from Option 3.
Also, I think Option 3 increases the likelyhood of causing your opponent to fold(possibly even fold the best hand) and win without a showdown.
He may decide to just call you down with a hand like AQ or AJ. But you still have some outs 10s to win, or pairing the board to tie.
I still think that Options 3 has better expectation than Option 2.