$100 NLHE, Pacific Poker
Stacks of the parties involved:
MP ($96)
MP+2 ($121)
Hero ($107)
I'm on the button with J :icon_suit_club: J :icon_suit_diamond:. My image kind've sucks right now because I keep missing flops while my opponents seem to be outdrawing my hands. Four folds, and MP, a player who got stacked about an hour ago on his first hand holding tp2k against a set raises to $3.00. Because of his recklessness, I put him on a TV tournament range of raising hands (couple of big cards, 77s or higher). One fold, MP+2 flat calls. MP+2 reraised with QQ earlier, so I have him on a smaller pair, two big cards, or suited connectors(since he busted a raiser earlier with them). CO folds, I reraise to $12. Both blinds fold, MP and MP+2 call. (pot ≈ $36.00)
FLOP = 4 :icon_suit_club: 6 :icon_suit_spade: 4 :icon_suit_diamond:
MP checks, MP+2 checks. I decide that MP+2 is probably holding a pair, so the only hands he holds that might beat me would be 44 or 66. As for MP, I'm not really sure what he has. Some players like to just call a PF reraise with AA because they know their opponent has a big, but smaller, pocket pair. However, seeing how fast he played when he thought he had the best hand (the tp2k hand earlier) made me doubt I was behind.
I bet $22. MP pushes all-in for $84. MP+2 folds. It's now $62 to call. (pot ≈ $142)
Gut check time. At this table, I've been forced to fold to an all-in raise several times, once when I was bluffing, and twice when the board wasn't too pleasant (overcard to pair, KQT suited in spades holding AK w/ no spade). MP has been here for each of those folds. I know from experience that the all-in move online is typical of a player representing a bluff when strong, but I can't fold to it every time. I decide I'm up against four possibilities: (1) a semibluff with some overcards to the board (2)a lower overpair to the board; (3)a overpair that he slowplayed; (4) the unlikely set of fours or sixes over fours.
I'm a pretty big favorite to the lower pair and the overcards, but I'm crushed otherwise. Given the previous action (MP's earlier play + my folds to all-in moves), I decide it's time to take a stand. I call.
TURN: A :icon_suit_diamond:
RIVER: Q :icon_suit_club:
(final pot ≈ $204)
I thought about it after and figured my bet on the flop was large enough to define my hand, so was calling a good play(I pretty much announced I was strong)? I was already pretty much committed, so I don't think a larger flop bet was necessary... maybe I should've made it more expensive preflop? Was a fold better here, since MP has to put me on a big pair since I reraised preflop(ie. I'm probably not folding)? In hindsight I'm guessing the call is probably pretty marginal at best, because even MP should realize I'll get tired of folding to big bets eventually.
