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FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > Limit Texas Hold'em
AlphaOmega
2/4 9-max (9-handed)

Reads:

MP2 is 15.5 / 7 / 1.8 over 85 hands

Pre-flop: Hero is dealt 8 icon_suit_heart.gif 8 icon_suit_diamond.gif in MP

folds, Hero raises, folds, Hero calls

Flop: (7.5 SB)

10 icon_suit_club.gif 4 icon_suit_heart.gif 7 icon_suit_diamond.gif

Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero calls

Turn: (6.75 BB)

A icon_suit_heart.gif

Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero folds
princeof56k
I wouldnt check/raise a preflop 3-bettor who has position on you with just pocket 8's.
AlphaOmega
QUOTE (princeof56k)
I wouldnt check/raise a preflop 3-bettor who has position on you with just pocket 8's.


What's my alternative?

Should I just donk into him on the flop and fold or call to a raise? I think there's a strong chance that I could get raised off the best hand with that scenario. Check/folding would be silly too.

Check/call down from the flop? That doesn't sound good either.
princeof56k
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop. I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.
Zach6668
I like the way you played it.
Bubba83
I also don't mind the line if you want to spend some extra money making sure you are behind, but why are we calling the flop 3 bet getting 12:1? Runner runner straight outs?
Zach6668
Implied odds, maybe make it close... you only need to make up about 6 BB...lol...yeah... I haven't developped the skill of raise/folding yet...
pokerplayer24
QUOTE (princeof56k)
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop. I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.


I'm sure AK and AQ appreciate it.


But yea i'm assuming you're calling down if no A or K hits?
screech
QUOTE (princeof56k)
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop.  I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.


Very wrong.

He has overcards around 1/3 of the time here.

I don't mind the c/r, as long as you fold to the 3-bet.

If you plan on calling a 3-bet, I would rather c/c the flop, and either c/c or c/f the turn depending on whether an A or K hit. If no A or K hit the turn or river, I would check the river and fold if he bet.
AlphaOmega
QUOTE (pokerplayer24)
QUOTE (princeof56k)
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop. I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.


I'm sure AK and AQ appreciate it.


But yea i'm assuming you're calling down if no A or K hits?


That was the plan, but I don't think I should be calling the flop 3-bet, as screech says. I'm likely behind and I don't have enough outs to make it worth it to catch up.
Smasharoo
Either fold to the flop three-bet or raise the turn.

good luck.
Bubba83
QUOTE (Smasharoo)
Either fold to the flop three-bet or raise the turn.

good luck.


I was thinking about check raising the turn also, as an alternative. Let's say we take that line, and check raise the turn. If he calls, do we fire on the river? Why/Why not?
Actuary
QUOTE (Smasharoo)
Either fold to the flop three-bet or raise the turn.

good luck.


Do you mean a premeditated, call flop 3-bet and then c/r any turn, representing a set (or an Ace in this case).
Or are you saying, given, it's an Ace, he can Raise turn after his flop 3-bet call goof up.
Actuary
I'm so nice, I posted twice. :oops:
princeof56k
QUOTE (pokerplayer24)
QUOTE (princeof56k)
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop. I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.


I'm sure AK and AQ appreciate it.


I'm sure they do. I'm aware (like screech pointed out) that we are up against overcards here alot. I know I'm wrong.

Anyone want to give me a calculation on how much equity I'm passing up here?
Bubba83
Yeah, on the flop, we don't know such a great turn card is coming to check/raise on the turn. That's why I think it's still a fold when he 3-bets.
AlphaOmega
QUOTE (princeof56k)
QUOTE (pokerplayer24)
QUOTE (princeof56k)
In a full ring game with a small pot I probably cut this loose on the flop. I know its probably wrong, but thats what I would do.


I'm sure AK and AQ appreciate it.


I'm sure they do. I'm aware (like screech pointed out) that we are up against overcards here alot. I know I'm wrong.

Anyone want to give me a calculation on how much equity I'm passing up here?


I would venture to say a substantial amount of equity. If you routinely check/fold hands like this, It's quite possible that some of your opponents could notice and start betting you off more then they should.

Just from a range standpoint, we are up against overcards here more often than overpairs. Since you have good equity versus overcards, and you will be passing up that equity every time, I think it can add up to a pretty penny.

Even if you lose this hand, I think you can get positive metagame expectation since people will be less inclined to play with you postflop.

Playing against straighforward players is the easiest thing in the world as you have no pressure to make any decision whatsoever. Playing against tricky players, even if they are bad, can often pressure you into making a mistake. That's why the Aggression Factor correlates significantly with one's win rate.
nritchi3
Im just curious how you think aggresion factor correlates with win rate? Higher the aggression higher the win rate can't be right?
AlphaOmega
QUOTE (nritchi3)
Im just curious how you think aggresion factor correlates with win rate? Higher the aggression higher the win rate can't be right?


Win Rate is almost completely dependant on the sum of your opponents' mistakes minus the sum of yours. If you make more mistakes than your opponents, then you will generally be a loser, while if you make less mistakes than your opponents, you will generally be a winner.

Aggression Factor correlates with Win Rate simply because there are many instances where the most optimal move is raising or betting. For example, an aggressor will squeeze extra value out of his hands that a passive player would not.

An aggressive player is also much harder to read. Defining an aggressive player's hand range is considerably harder to define than a passive player's hand range. As a result, the aggressive player's opponents are far more likely to make more mistakes than the passive player's opponents.


More mistakes = more bling bling

As a disclaimer, this assumes that the aggression is applied correctly. If applied incorrectly, an aggressive style can correlate very highly with the process of going busto.
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