QUOTE (benhoug)
QUOTE (AceyDeucy)
Win $76 pot
This is a much better win than the $8
You are TOTALLY MISSING THE POINT here. When you play, how often does a single pair win on a PAIRED BOARD w/ a POSSIBLE STRAIGHT??? By playing the hand passively (and greedily) you allowed yourself to lose a big pot.
By the way, you're being totally results-oriented, which is a HUGE mistake. If you make the best decisions every hand the results will take care of themselves, and you won't have to worry about trying to make $76 off your aces.
Side note: I was not the aces player here. He just had the most interesting perspective.
No, I'm not missing the point. I am just willing accept the higher-variance play here, because the situation lended itself to it very well. I think that he could have played this hand and
predicted how the betting would go. Had the flop been more dangerous, I would be very willing to agree with you here on his play. However, at this table, he could assume very safely that he was well ahead here. Of course, by the river, the board was terrible, but he got a very favorable flop, and, given the ensuing
action, a pretty good turn.
And I am not being results-oriented. I think that BB knew damned well that I would take a stab at any flop that was checked to me, especially a junky one like this. I also think that the flop was sufficiently non-threatening to allow another card here after it was bet, since the only possible straight drwas are gutshots and there is no flush draw out. I do think he needed to "wake up" on the 7 on the turn for a host of
knowable reasons. He honestly set a very nice trap for me that the river bailed me out of, and that he should have known that the river was a terrible card for him.
And to a larger point, when you have aces, you KNOW you have the best hand, and I think you are silly not to be trying to extract the most value out of it. And given that he had two LAGy players in late positions that like to attack this passive table, he had a better play option than "isolate and crush." Granted, he took more risk, and compounded the risk with some bad decision making later on, but I think, based on all the knowledge he had access to, he started well and finished poorly. Of course, there are a lot of bad flops for aces (flops that pair kings, for instance),
but there are many more GOOD flops for aces. I would therefore argue that the less-threatening the flop, the more you should let people play with you.
My argument has always been that he picked a creative line, and that he could have reasonably concluded that a checkraise on the turn was his best move. Now, given the results, he had the potential for an enormous pot, given what the cutoff held. THAT is being results oriented. I am much more interested in the process, here.
there are no good flops for aces when you have 3 opponents. against a random hand, aces will get outflopped about 11% of the time. so, 1/3 of the time bb would be losing already on the flop. he'll be going broke 1/3 of the time... high variance is an understatement.