Bizzle
Tuesday, January 3rd, 2006, 10:36 AM
QUOTE (Hobbes)
Heads up in a home game. Villain is a good player with a full table, but generally doesn't loosen up enough as the numbers dwindle. I've got about a 7,000 to 5,000 chip lead. Blinds are 75/150. I'm in the big blind.
Villain calls. I've got 7

7

. I raise to 600, he thinks about it and calls. Pot is 1200.
Flop is 9

9

7

. I bet 800, villain thinks about it and calls. Villain knows that I like the continuation bet, but also knows I will bet my strong hands. He won't raise me on the flop though if he puts me on the continuation bet as he likes to try to take it away from me on the turn. He does like to slow play big pairs too. (We've obviously played a lot together and know our play pretty well.) Pot is 2800.
Turn is A

. If he has A9, that's trouble and it's a hand he could have the way he played it. But if he had a flush draw or an Ace, that's a great card. I figure that there are too many hands he could have that will pay me off to be afraid of one particular hand. If I check here, it's almost guaranteed he will bet, so a check-raise is definitely an option. However, a check-raise here would show a lot of strength and maybe some small Aces, JT

, or even a 9 might not pay off the check-raise. I bet 1200. Villain calls again. I'm pretty sure he has something good now.
Pot is now 5200. Villain has about 2400 left. I have about 4400 left.
River is A

. Now what?
Alright, here is the simple question. Why would you lead on the turn if you
know that he is going to bet at it? If he throws 1200-1600 at it out of his 4k stack, CR him all in will either get him to fold and leave him with slightly over 2k in his stack, while you have around 10k, or he will be all in drawing slim. Your goal here is to get as many chips as possible into the pot...which would be the easiest way to do it. I would do that, or if I didn't, I would bet more on the turn-1200 into 2800 doesn't put him in a position where he will feel obligated to call off the rest of his 2400 chips. I would bet 1600 to leave him 2k behind, which go in regardless of the river.
I am going to take a stab in the dark here-you checked the river, he bet, you showed your 77 and folded, and he showed QQ JJ or 10-10?