xwillience
Thursday, February 17th, 2005, 1:30 PM
question about the math..... if someone needs runner runner Q10 to make a straight does the math go 4/47 x 4/46 = ? any help would be appreciated... should be easy but im slow this morning
Alcatraz
Thursday, February 17th, 2005, 6:43 PM
No, it's a bit better than that. 4/47 * 4/46 assumes that it must be QT in that order.
There are 8 turn cards that help him, for each of those 8 turn cards, there are then 4 river cards that help.
xwillience
Friday, February 18th, 2005, 4:21 AM
so 8/47 x 4/46 = .0148 or 1.5% chance into odds that would be 8*4/47*46 or 32/2162 = 67.5:1?
MasterLJ
Thursday, March 3rd, 2005, 3:00 PM
I calculate relevant statistics all the time. Runner Runner is not one of them. This is simply because it's never a good bet and never something you should be fearful about when playing. Everytime someone runner-runners you, thank your stars they are at your table.
Think of it this way, if there was a casino game with a 60% chance to double your money, would you play it? How about 80% chance? 95% chance? Of course you'd play in any and all of the above situations. That's what people who runner-runner you are doing. They are gambling for half the pot (or maybe a tad more) at a huge disadvantage. People who gamble this way go broke, period.
BadBeatBou
Thursday, March 10th, 2005, 9:03 AM
I will try an answer, please correct my math if I am wrong:
Let's assume that it is an all-in situation versus two players and you know that both players do not have Q-T in their pocket (because they turn their card on the all-in).
So 4 Q remaining and 4 T remaining with 45 possibilities (52 cards - 3 flop - 2 pockets - 2 pockets)
1 - (37/45 * 40/44) = 25.25% = 74.75:25.25 = 2.96:1
Am I right?
Socrates
Tuesday, April 5th, 2005, 1:24 PM
You can only remove your cards from the equation. YOu don't know what your oopponent has. Or if you are saying they are turned face up already, then yes, I believe you calculated correctly.
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