Shimmering Wang
Sunday, December 25th, 2005, 4:43 PM
QUOTE (fckthis)
QUOTE (screech)
I call on the flop because you're getting great odds and have good relative postition if you flop a strong draw. Your hand has suitedness and some connectedness.
I wouldn't bet this flop because I doubt overs are raising here unless UTG is extremely aggressive. After UTG bets and gets called in two places, I think raising is pretty pointless. Still, you have more than enough outs to continue.
umm 6 outs? The extra one is included for the backdoor flush. I may peel here, but you know you need to improve to win. I just think that it's ok to peel in large pots, and not a pot like this.
I fold here, because you only have like 2 gin cards (4 or 7 of clubs).
You're getting 11-1ish (rake??) closing the action. I consider both 6s outs (2). Let's call 2/3 of the 3s outs as well (4). If we completely discount our backdoor straight outs, because they'll generally only help us when we ALSO pick up the flush draw (4c, 7c), and we call our backdoor flush exactly 1 out (very conservative), we've got 5 outs.
That's more than enough to continue, considering our implied odds are hanging out somewhere above the x-axis.
Wang