TJ_Eckleburg
Tuesday, December 20th, 2005, 12:51 PM
QUOTE (portcityplayer)
22 is an underdog against 56 suited, but is the favorite against AK suited.
What gives? Are the up and down straight possibilities enough to give 56suited the edge over AK vs the small pair? J10suited is also a favorite. Is this one more reason to discount AK!!
And the answer is...
Everything is relative to every other thing!
And we can't know everything, or anything CLOSE to everything.
A better question is, "who has more equity in a 3 way pot preflop?"
From Cardplayer.com:
AhKh 41.5%
5s6s 33.3%
2c2d 25.3%
Now what does THAT tell you? 5s6s is EV neutral. I would theorize that his equity INCREASES as random dead hands (other loose calls that won't see the river) enter the pot. That equity increase is
relative to what "fair odds should be." That is, while it's EV neutral in a 3 way pot, 5s6s should have more than 12.5% equity in an 8 way pot against 8 random hands.
If one of those random hands dominates 5s6s, then 5s6s is about 70/30 behind that one hand heads up, but still better off than the field in a multiway pot.
Returning to this example, AhKh has an equity ADVANTAGE over 22. All of AK's equity comes at the expense of 22. Even though 22 is ahead of AK equity-wise heads up, the fact that 56 is in the hand gives 22 more ways to lose. Therefore, 22 wants MORE people in the pot to have better odds to draw, or it wants to be heads up against two overcards to push it's 53/47 edge.
And, since AhKh has equity over THIS field, any raises preflop have IMMEDIATE value, since pot equity > fair odds.
So AhKh should be raising preflop against a field!
This stuff making sense yet?