mrdannyg
Monday, December 5th, 2005, 5:09 PM
QUOTE (Actuary)
I'll try! (I promise I'll get to your question...but this is in Strategy!)
Preflop Raise is excellent!
Flop:
We have 5 BB's in the pot, that is not small. Firing a bet after 2 checks and you raised preflop (with a poster as well in there) is fine, if not standard.
Bizzle: there is a 44% chance anyone has an Ace.
Giving up afterwards is good to.
Now to answer OP's question:
They have BDFD', BDSD's and the ever popular BackDoor Trip draws.
Basically, they suck. Thats why UTG+1 is even in the hand with 89off in the first place.
It's also why we make money playing. Sometimes you can get "respect" for a follow thru bet on the flop; but apparently these folks are quite loose. Just keep raising your strong hands (like KQ o) preflop and betting for value when you make a hand.
As you've learned as well, trying to post about why others do someting usually results in people wanting to pick you apart.
Kinda silly, I know. Just post more hands and ask for advice on your play, if you'd like. Then later you can post stuff like this and folks will be nicer. (at least they are to me)
it is in strat so...why not?
PF raise is standard and good. good job.
I think the continuation bet is poor. since actuary presented reasons its not so bad i'll respond.
44% chance no one has an ace:
sorry, but i think that is an example of overly applying math. there were 4 people cold-calling a raise in a game where people will vastly overplay any aces. there is no way to attribute an exact number to the likelihood of someone having an ace. with random hands behind us, there may be 44% chance of no one having an ace (assuming your math is right), but once so many people call a raise, i think you have to realize that number may be higher.
it is possible to bet here, represent an ace and continue to bet. since you (probably) don't have any positive equity in this hand (turns out we do, but we can't know that), there is still a reasonable chance the terrible players on party will call/call/fold if you continue to bet. it's terrible play, but the fish on party will do it often. so calling there with the intent to continue to bluff the turn and river is fine, though not recommended by me.
as for the callers, the Kh, 5h actually has a not horrific hand. he has backdoor straight and flush draws, which I believe you need 16:1 to call. don't know where i got that to be honest, but he isn't far from that. he has the nut backdoor flush draw, which he needs less than 20 bets to call on its own. his backdoor straight/two pair/trips draw make this close. still a poor call, but not that horrible. his equity is so poor:
http://www.twodimes.net/poker/?g=h&b=4c%2C...d%0D%0A8s%2C+4s
since both his king and 5 are dominated, but he should expect at least one card to be live. most importantly, he only needs to see the turn. if the turn does not open up his draws he folds. since the 45 and 48 will probably call the turn as well, they are usually making a bigger mistake.
as for why the 78 called, he did so because he is an idiot, and apparently one of his motives for playing poker is not to win at poker. often terrible players will call absolutely any flop if there's lots of people in. they're nice people. take their money.
cheers,
daniel