I posted this hand in the general forum and was called an idiot for it, which I wasn't surprised by. I wanted to post it here since the responses are almost always constructive and there are so many good players here. I don't consider myself a great player and can definitely take the criticism.
I left the results of the hand out, although I'm sure some of you have seen them already.
I'll post the hand with my thought-process and reads.
Texas Hold'em $10-$10 NL (real money), #1,380,222,276
Table wanita1234's HE, 19 Oct 2005 11:35 PM ET
Seat 1: Satchel7 ($847 in chips)
Seat 7: natural1 x ($800 in chips)
Seat 8: Naismith ($1,023.85 in chips)
Seat 9: B_O_K_E ($2,819 in chips)
Seat 10: JuanLuckyGuy ($1,209 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
natural1 x posts blind ($5), Naismith posts blind ($10).
****I am dealt the Kc-Qc on the BB****
PRE-FLOP
B_O_K_E bets $30, JuanLuckyGuy calls $30, Satchel7 folds, natural1 x calls $25, Naismith calls $20.
****BOKE had raised the last three times UTG showing J7d, 44 and 56h. He made a continuation bet each time and checked the turn twice when he missed and bet the other time when he hit his set on the turn. JuanLuckyGuy is a solid player that I've played with a lot and have the best read on. His range of calling hands here are any pair (22-88), A10suited, AJ and KQ. He would re-raise with 99-AA and with AQ or AK and would muck all other hands. Natural is a wild player that doesn't seem to have a clue how to play other than going all in on the river. He went all in on pretty much every river when the pot was big. He showed ace-high a bunch of times and once showed the nuts. He had 3k when I arrived and had bluffed most of it away.****
FLOP [board cards 8C,7S,JH ]
natural1 x checks, Naismith checks, B_O_K_E bets $50, JuanLuckyGuy calls $50, natural1 x calls $50, Naismith calls $50.
****I check here for the obvious reasons. I intend to call if the other two fold and feel BOKE out on the turn (since he had checked the turn each time he missed). If either guy re-raised, I would've folded. Instead, Juan calls which tells me he probably has a J. He wouldn't call with an underpair or middle pair or to try to set up a bluff. I put him on AJ here since that fits in the best with his call-a-raise preflop hand range. Natural calls here because he calls in every pot he contends when there's a flop bet. He could have literally anything.
That said, I believe there's a good chance both of my cards put me in the lead if I hit and the bet is a relatively small 5BB into a 27BB pot. I realize there's a chance either of the unpredictable guys could have Kx or Qx that two-pairs and gets me in trouble and I'm trusting my ability to get away from it if that happens. Also, any club gives me a flush draw and a ten gives me straight outs, although probably eliminates my KQ outs. Reasoning that, I call.****
TURN [board cards 8C,7S,JH,AH ]
natural1 x checks, Naismith checks, B_O_K_E checks, JuanLuckyGuy bets $75, natural1 x calls $75, Naismith calls $75, B_O_K_E calls $75.
****That was not the card I wanted and I'm willing to fold to a big bet. BOKE checks as I figured he would and Juan bets, pretty much guaranteeing that he has AJ. He would either check-call or check-fold anything less than top pair and would probably be content with checking down A10. He only bets 75 and after Natural calls, it's 75 into a pot that's nearing 500 dollars. Juan knows I'm capable of making a play on the river and will call a big bet if I hit my straight with his top two and might even play back at me. Plus, there's a chance Natural will do his all in bit, in which case my implied odds are extremely high. BOKE calling is both a surprise and a disaster since I'm sure he's drawing to something and I put him on hearts. He likes to raise up with suited cards and a backdoor flush draw seems possible based on how this has played out. If he's on hearts, of course, that kills one of my tens.****
Anyhow, I think my logic is pretty sound and I don't think this is horribly played. On the other hand, I don't have a hard time believing that I don't know what I'm talking about and I'm willing to listen. I'm definitely open to criticism and would appreciate hearing the flaws in my logic, though, so I can work on getting better.
Peace,
Jay