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FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > No Limit Texas Hold'em Cash Games
Abbaddabba
Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is UTG with [Qc], [Qh].
Hero raises, Hero calls, UTG+2 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (17.50 SB) [Jc], [4c], [6c] (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets, CO calls, Button folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (10.25 BB) [9d] (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets, UTG+2 calls.


What to do?
screech
That was a horrible fold.

You have outs to the 3 nuts.

Even if you're behind to JJ, you have a lot of outs to improve. Same goes for AA/KK.
Abbaddabba
My 3rd nut flush is rarely good even when i make it, and i lose more when it isnt. Im usually drawing to 2 cards and occasionally drawing dead.

With the PF 3bettor smooth calling the flop and raising the turn, it makes me think a made flush or kings/aces with the club in his hand.
Abbaddabba
Im getting paid 14:2 on the turn assuming it isnt 3bet, which it occasionally is. Implied odds when i hit and im good is 1.5 bets roughly. Revserse implied odds is roughly the same when im not good. My flush draw is good roughly as often as it's not good.

Im 4:1 to make my flush draw, plus a negligable amount to hit my queen.

Flop action was very lite - the pot isnt as big as the preflop action would suggest.

How likely do you think each combination is in a 3way pot given this information?
screech
You're right.

I just did a weight outs calculation for AA - JJ, and AcKc.

If we assume we have 6 clean flush outs when CO doesn't hold a club, we only have 5.25 outs.

Good fold.
mrdannyg
were you going for the CR on the flop?
Abbaddabba
I was if the preflop 3bettor or capper bet. The fact that the cold caller bets before either the 3bettor or capper bet was worrying. Im not sure that a raise at that point could be seen as for value and im certainly not getting any better hands to fold.
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