timwakefield
Wednesday, October 12th, 2005, 6:36 PM
QUOTE (jayistheman)
lead out.
you really don't want to checkraise here, and you really don't want to smoothcall an overbet... its a tough spot to be in....
so lead.
I don't think checking is a bad play here. Often you'll want to lead out with a small set, but when you flop the small boat against an aggressor, I think you may want to give him a chance to bluff. This is especially true if you thought he was trying to steal the blinds...good chance that he'll keep trying to steal.
If you lead out you're hoping he has an ace, but if you check you give him a chance to lose some chips whether he has an ace or not. Certainly you want to lead into him IF he has that ace, but it's not terribly likely that he does, so let him bluff.
That being said, you should probably check/raise. Calling is pretty suspicious. More importantly though, you don't want to give him a free card since he could hit a higher boat (if he has ax, 66, etc). So raise him, and hope he moves in.