OK, as many of you know I'm been having a lot of trouble with my game lately, so I'm going to try out this posting hands thing... this one is from tonight.
First problem... where can I convert my pacific poker hands? The hand converter doesn't work for pacific so, you'll just have to muddle through it for now.
WE ARE NOT HERE TO DISCUSS PREFLOP PLAY ON THIS PARTICULAR HAND. If you want to weight in on that subject I've put a pole at the top. You can vote but there is no need to discuss that part of the hand any further. As you will see it's been beaten to death already. Let's try to focus on the post-flop play.
***** Pacific Hand History for Game 2025503746 *****
$5/$10 Limit Hold'em - *** 09 28 18:34:14 2005
Table Cosmopolitan (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 10: SanchoHH ( $361.49 )
Seat 1: CRbomb ( $544 )
Seat 2: chuch211 ( $278.9 )
Seat 3: TexasWoo ( $592 )
Seat 4: mmmmm420 ( $164.5 )
Seat 5: roy46ca ( $168.5 )
Seat 6: Feldy10 ( $148.1 )
Seat 7: ddudley ( $210 )
Seat 8: hogrule ( $172.8 )
Seat 9: Toast001 ( $29.5 )
SanchoHH posts small blind [$2].
CRbomb posts big blind [$5].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to ddudley [ 10h Ks ]
chuch211 calls [$5].
TexasWoo calls [$5].
mmmmm420 calls [$5].
roy46ca folds.
Feldy10 folds.
ddudley calls [$5].
hogrule calls [$5].
Toast001 calls [$5].
SanchoHH raises [$8].
CRbomb calls [$5].
chuch211 calls [$5].
TexasWoo calls [$5].
mmmmm420 calls [$5].
ddudley calls [$5].
hogrule calls [$5].
Toast001 calls [$5].
The 2 players behind me are the 2 worst players at the table and are both very likely to play no matter what action I take. The blinds are the 2 tightest players at the table and are not going to raise in an 7-8 way pot unless they have AA, KK or QQ. When I limped I was 90% sure I would end up 7-8 way unraised.
VP$IP:
hogrule = 57% in 36 hands
Toast001 = 72% in 125 hands
SanchoHH = 8.2% in 61 hands
CRbomb = 27% in 195 hands but seems to be playing much tighter in this session
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6c, 10s, 6s ]
SanchoHH bets [$5].
CRbomb folds.
chuch211 calls [$5].
TexasWoo calls [$5].
mmmmm420 raises [$10].
If my reads are correct at the point, SanchoHH (TPP) has an over pair of some sort, he might have A-K but I doubt it. Mmmmm420 (SLAP) has a 6 or at least he's representing a 6. It's possible he has a 10 or is just making a move on a really big pot cause he thinks he can move Sancho off his overpair and is assuming everone will fold behind him. I'm not really worried about anyone else having a better hand at this point. In fact I'm pretty sure Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dumb will both call again with no pair and no draw.
ddudley calls [$10].
hogrule calls [$10].
Toast001 calls [$10].
SanchoHH calls [$5].
chuch211 folds.
TexasWoo calls [$5].
I was playing at a fast table (12 seconds to act) so I didn't have time to calculate all the pot odds and implied odds but it seemed like an ok call at the time, based on the fact the pot was going to be at least $130 after this round of betting.
Now that I've had time to look it up and think about the hand I think I needed 22-1 to take one card off with 2 outs left in the deck. So, in retropect I'm pretty sure it was a bad call. Anyone disagree? What about the 3 other Ks? Should I count those or not? If we are counting 5 outs then I needed 9-1 to take one card off and I was getting at least 12-1 at the time of my call and it turned out better than that at 14.5-1.
EDIT: I moved this stuff up from a lower post because I thought it was important stuff to be thinking about:
It all comes down to how many if any of the K out I can count. That all depends on the accuracy of my reads on mmmmm420. Let's say 70% he has a 6, 15% he has a 10 with a lower kicker, 5% he has a 10 with an A kicker and 10% he's making a move on a big pot with 2 over cards like K-J or Q-J. So let say there is a 30% chance the K's are good outs.
So lets count 1 of 3 K's as good that gives me 1 K and 2 10s for 3 outs and around 15:1 so maybe I'm getting implied odds to take 1 card off?
With the above assumptions there is a 20% chance I'd be splitting the pot with mmmmm420. The is also some small chance, say 10%, that Sancho has K-K. Those 2 assumptions are not accounted for at this point.