shpaget
Tuesday, September 20th, 2005, 12:36 PM
QUOTE
hello. they're called reverse implied odds.
are you always making the same money when you win at showdown 52% of the time that you're losing when you're beat the other 48% of the time.
not usually.
aseem
Here, I don't know...maybe not, but I just don't know.
Will you have bet/call all the way to the river every time...no...if you did, then, yes, you profit.
How many times is a losing hand (especially a guy who's certain he's losing) going to lead all the way to the river versus the number of times a guy leading all the way to the river is value betting.
Of those 52% of the times you're going to win, how many times is the loser leading to the river. Of the 48% of the time you're going to lose, how often is the winner going to lead to the river....they may counteract, they may not.
K3 could check to the river...so you only lose $2.50 there.
Of the 52% of the time you're going to win, how often is it going to check to the river with the loser taking a stab at the river?
Like I said, I just don't know what those odds are.