Does anyone know where I can find the percentages for what the winning hand is most often in hold'em? For example, how many times is one pair the winner, two pair, etc.? I've read somewhere (probably on this forum) that the "average" winning hand is two pair, but I'm more interested in how often certain hand strengths win. Does this make sense? :?

i can give you some personal numbers:

high card: WSD% 15.11
one pair: 37.06%
two pair: 53.28%
trips: 73.41%
str8: 84.07%
flush: 81.13%
full house: 87.00%
quads, str8 flush: 100%

hope that's what you're looking for. this is all from about 50k hands...

too. many. variables.

check www.cardplayer.com for a HE calculator
that will tell you %'s of what hands play against
each other and stuff like that, but I think you have
to be more specific with your question for the info
that you're looking for

Sorry, I don't think I was quite clear. The second poster may be correct, there may be too many variables to know for sure. I appreciate the first reply, but I don't think that's what I was looking for. I don't want to know the percentage of how often you will win when you make a full house or whatever it is. I want to know how often one pair is the winning hand, or two pair is the winning hand, or a straight is the winning hand in a showdown, etc.

I think it's fairly obvious that usually a hand like two pair or even top pair wins. You don't have someone making a flush, straight, or full house on every hand. Maybe this information is unknowable, but I thought it was worth a try.

Like I said, there's too many variables...

What limits, how many players, table condition,
etc, etc, etc.

For instance, a Heads Up match will play a lot
differently than a 10-handed ring game,
and 10 handed ring games at higher limits will
play a lot different than Party Poker .05-.10.

I think I heard Phil Gordon say that 2 pair is the most common winning hand, if that's what you mean.

I would be careful to get too wrapped up in "situational poker." That's my term for playing the overall situation and not the players/bets/cards in front of you.

Example:

You are heads up with a player you hold AKos (K is not of diamonds), flop is 2 8 A . Statistically, your opponent doesn't have the flush, but if they're willing to go all in on a flop like that you can be pretty sure you're beat. If you start thinking of the situation and not the bets and make the call, you're going to get burned. You have to use them all as factors with the probability of your opponent holding a flopped flush (as it is incredibly small, so if your mindset is.,.. they only flop a flush 0.1% of the time or whatever) being one of the lessor factors imo. It may be small, but the thing that you will never know and cannot be compiled is, what percent of the time does a player betting that large have the flopped flush? I think it's better than you think.

Another situation is when you have AA and the flop is 10 10 K. Situationally you had the best hand pre flop and situationally your opponent probably hasn't even paired (the statistics say so), but again, against a big bettor this is a 50/50 situation, they have the K or the 10 (there are other smaller factors but let's keep this simple... i.e. QQ KK,or JJ or even a bluff) and you're beat half the time even though you may have 2 pair.

To ramble even further, say you have A:heart: A:diamond:

Flop is A K:spade: Q:spade: ... turn is 9:spade:

You've got trips, which wins a high percentage of the time, but in this situation tons of hands beat you.