Abbaddabba
Monday, August 29th, 2005, 8:31 AM
Why raise the turn.
Fold equity is nearly zero, and you don't want to have hands folding that could conceivably fold. OESDs will call 2 cold on the turn virtually every time. The only hands that are folding are small pairs that you want calling.
You're roughly one in three to make your draw, 3 of your outs are likely to a split, two may be dirty.
Since you're a dog against the bettor in virtually every scenario you want to see the river as cheap as possible - plus you want overcalls. You definitely don't want to be raising the turn, unless the table respects your raise enough to fold a monster (ie: not in any .50/1 game ive ever played in).
Raising the turn is worse than raising the flop, i think.
The only place in this hand you might want to raise is preflop.
QUOTE
I still think raising the flop is better. You've gotta have some equity, you gain some info, and maybe clean out some weak draws.
What information do you get that you can conceivably use?
ie: he 3bets. Oh, that's nice. You now know he probably has TPTK or better. I dont see how this helps you. It just has you spewing an extra small bet when you're definitely behind. You have _some_ equity, but not enough that you want to jam the pot. Also - there are no weak draws out there that you want to clean up. A backdoor flush draw is the only one you're conceivably vulnerable to if you were to make your hand, and that draw would be getting such poor odds that you probably wouldn't mind them contributing an extra small bet to the pot.