screech
Thursday, August 11th, 2005, 4:11 PM
Villians stats are 36/5/0.64 through 55 hands
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed)
converter
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with [As], [9s].
1 fold, SB completes, BB checks.
Flop: (6 SB) [Ac], [9h], [Jc]
(6 players)
SB checks, BB folds,
Hero bets, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO calls, SB folds.
Turn: (4 BB) [3c]
(2 players)
Hero bets, Hero folds.
Final Pot: 7 BB
Standard right?
wrto4556
Thursday, August 11th, 2005, 4:14 PM
:shock:
that's a tough fold. My standard line is to call down because he could have J2, A2, and plenty of other hands you beat.
screech
Thursday, August 11th, 2005, 4:35 PM
If the 3-flush wasn't present, I'd call down. Even if the villian doesnt have a flush, he may have a redraw to one.
If I'm behind, I have at most 4 outs to improve (If he has AJ, or JJ, only two). So lets say that I have 3 outs to win. That comes in 6.5% of the time.
The pot is currently laying me 7:1. If I call the raise, I'm going to call a river bet too. That means it will cost me 2 bets to win 8. So I have to win over 20% of the time to show a profit. Since I will win at 6.5% of the time when I improve, I will need to be ahead of the villian 13.5% of the time in this situation. I think 10 percent of the time that I'm ahead of the villian on the turn, he will outdraw me by the river at least 20% of the time (better 2 pair, flush, etc).
I think this is just too much against a passive opponent. Then again, maybe I'm to passive :oops: