Ebonwoulfe
Wednesday, August 24th, 2005, 11:39 AM
You showed weakness twice:
You didn't three bet the flop
You checked the turn
Some players, no matter what, see these two actions as much weaker than they are. Some players are great, if you check on *any* street they just believe you are bluffing. You, obviously, aren't.
Of course, this might not be one of those players. But here's the deal:
You're probably good - 238K board means he has to have 22, 33, 88, KK, 23, 28, 2K, 38, 3K, 8K, or two clubs to beat you. All the hands with a 2 probably aren't out, and he has to be extremely lucky to have two clubs. If you're not good, you have 7 outs against the flush, 15 outs against two pair, and 9 against a set. Like I said, you're *probably* good.
Your check-raise on the turn easily put him in a place where he might have put in two big turn bets instead of just one if you three-bet the flop and bet the turn, which is exactly what you wanted. The K

is a bit of a bi
tch, since he might have been raising the flop for a free card on the turn, though. That's not enough to slow down though - the check-raise the turn was your play. I think the line from here is to call the turn three-bet (it's a bad place to take it to four bets without a strong read, but three is fine), check-call the river unimproved (might catch a bluff, since he is not going to call a river bet if he's on a bluff), probably bet if a club comes out (he probably isn't betting a four-flush board without a flush himself - and if he has a flush he might raise you - but he might call with a pair), and probably check-raise an A or a board pair (as long as it isn't the 8, that's his most likely pair in my mind), since he's likely to call with a worse two pair/set... but that's risky, since he might have the flush or a full house with a board pair.