akishore
Tuesday, July 19th, 2005, 11:59 PM
QUOTE (Snowman)
Is raising the flop really wrong?
You may force out the SB and BB and that's the bad side, but if they are loose they may still call and that's great.
However, my main point is that it may buy you a free card on the turn. And you don't really mind a re-raise from EP either, since you probably have the best hand here.
Am I way off?
pot is small, we have a very strong / monster draw. our main aim right now is to build up the pot. since we don't have overcards to protect, we don't need to raise to buy outs and protect overcard outs. so, since our main incentive is to build the pot (i.e. invite more players in), calling is better than raising.
another way of thinking about it:
our draw is an insensitive one. that is, whether we are up against one opponent or three, we have the same number of outs and practically the same odds of having the best hand by showdown (the exception is an opponent with a single higher spade, but that percentage drop in our equity in those situations is only about 3%... since the pot is not nearly big enough that such a percentage makes a difference, it's negligible).
so, we can be putting in 50% of the money (heads-up) with a roughly 55% chance of making a straight/flush by showdown (a small edge), or we can be putting in 25% of the money (four-way) or 33% of the money (three-way) with the same 55% chance of making a straight/flush by showdown (humongous edge).
understand?
aseem
p.s. raising for a free card is best used in position. we might check the turn but still not get a free card with a player to act behind us. plus, raising for a free card here, even when successful, has less EV than calling and inviting both players into the pot if raising for a free card forces them both to fold.
p.s.s. if you haven't read "small stakes hold 'em" by ed miller, do so at your earliest convenience.