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Full Version: lhe, ok..how bout this river
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > General Strategy
Actuary
do I bet here for value?

she only has 6 hands in my database.

If bet was right..then bet/call ?

thanks again fellas.
I gotta get thru SSHE!
Miller's book alone has turned me into a winning player so far after 800 hands.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Actuary is MP3 with Ac, As.
1 fold, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG+1 folds.

Flop: (9 SB) 9s, 7d, 5d (4 players)
SB bets, Button calls, SB calls.

Turn: (7.50 BB) Kh (3 players)
SB bets, Button folds, SB calls.

River: (11.50 BB) 7h (2 players)
SB checks, Actuary checks.

Final Pot: 11.50 BB
RISEorFall
Bet. If he had something like K9 or K5 or 95 you now beat him. If he check/raises you, well you have to call I think but you're more than likely beat. Lots of hands call you here that you can beat.
Actuary
as an actuary I should love this game..and I do.
I just need the guts to make the right bets my brain tells me to.

That second 7 scared me, as I thought quite possible thats what she's playing.
Petoria
ummm.....i'd say this is an easy river bet. Very unlikely that he has you beat. Bet/call of course.
TheIceman05
QUOTE (Actuary)
That second 7 scared me, as I thought quite possible thats what she's playing.


You, uh, need to stop thinking that matters.

She could POSSIBLY have enough hands to make this an impossibly easy river bet.

Ice
Mattnxtc
she slowed down on the river...to me thats tellin me she had an over card that didnt hit...i see it all the time where they try to bet u out then check it when they dont hit...theres has to be decent value in that bet
Actuary
generally I post the ones I feel I screwed up...
so good, it's confirmed.

and I just happend to have back to back hands with river bet decisions.

this would be a sizable leak if it was my normal play, but it's not.
RISEorFall
QUOTE (Actuary)
That second 7 scared me, as I thought quite possible thats what she's playing.


That 7 more than likely helped you, if anything.
akishore
bet...............

1. you have the best two pair possible now. even if she improved to two pair with K-9 on the turn, you beat her.

2. flush draw missed. she might have a pair to go with it (a pair of 7's isn't possible since that was part of the flush draw... she might have 9-x of diamonds of K-x of diamonds) so you can get another bet out of her.

3. bayes theorem! read that section on value betting the river again. when an opponent checks, it's more likely that they AREN'T good. when you're out of position, check-calling might be alright (not in this hand, but in other hands), but when you're in position and a non-tricky opponent checks, it's usually correct to value bet more.

aseem
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