Bet you clicked on this from the home page not realizing its a bad beat rant!!! Actually I'm over it, just thought you guys would get a kick out of these hands and probabilities. Left last night stuck $2800, one of the lesser profitable nights at this game I've had in a while.
Hand 1
Guy in MP raises, I call the from the BB with QhJh
Flop: Qc8d4s
I check, MP bets, I raise, MP calls
Turn 4h
I bet, MP calls
River As
I bet, MP calls and shows AsJd and wins
On the turn I was a 93% fav to win that hand (approx 18-1)
Hand 2 (now it gets really disgusting)
I raise with AhKh, guy in LP calls
Flop: Kd5d2h
I bet, LP calls
Turn: 7s
I bet, LP calls
River: 7c
I bet, LP raises, I call
LP shows 10h7h (????) and wins
On the flop I’m a 98.5% fav to win (approx 50-1)
Hand 3
UTG raises, MP calls, I call from cutoff with 8d8c
Flop: 8sQd4c
UTG bets, MP raises, I 3bet, UTG folds, MP calls
Turn: 7c
MP checks, I bet, MP calls
River: Kc
MP checks, I bet, MP raises, I call
MP shows Ac10c (??????) for nuts and wins
On the flop I’m a 94% fav to win (approx 19-1)
Last hand of the night
Folds around to aggressive button who raises, I call in the SB with KdQd
Flop: KsQs7c
I check, button bets, I raise, button 3 bets, I 4 bet, he calls
Turn: 4d
I bet, button calls
River: 7d
I bet, button raises, I call
Button shows Qh7h for a boat and wins
On the turn I’m a 95% fav to win (approx 19-1)
Total odds of me loosing all 4 of these hands… 0.000003% (1 in 324,900)
Think I'm doing this right... just multiply the denominators right?