Help - Search - Members - Calendar
Full Version: Nuts V. Nit
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > Omaha Poker
trystero
SB's a nit. MP's "solid" but a POW (obv). I thought about raising this turn but I'm pretty sure the nit's got T9 too and I could be freerolled. OK to just play it passively?

Full Tilt Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 ($2)
MP3 ($1.86)
Hero (CO) ($2)
Button ($2)
SB ($4.70)
BB ($1)
UTG ($3.04)
UTG+1 ($6.49)
MP1 ($7.82)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 icon_suit_heart.gif, 10 icon_suit_spade.gif, 2 icon_suit_spade.gif, 10 icon_suit_heart.gif
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, MP1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.02, 1 fold, SB calls $0.01, BB checks

Flop: ($0.10) A icon_suit_spade.gif, 8 icon_suit_heart.gif, 7 icon_suit_diamond.gif (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, SB calls $0.10, BB calls $0.10, 1 fold

Turn: ($0.50) 6 icon_suit_diamond.gif (4 players)
SB bets $0.20, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

River: ($1.10) 5 icon_suit_diamond.gif (3 players)
SB checks, MP1 checks, Hero checks

looshle
you are too short to worry about being freerolled, id worry more about mp filling up and just get it in.
trystero
hey man weird to see you in the plo forum

you're a big nlhe tourney winner I think

how deep do you have to be to flat call here and not try and get it in?
looshle
QUOTE (trystero @ Thursday, November 26th, 2009, 3:14 PM) *
hey man weird to see you in the plo forum

you're a big nlhe tourney winner I think

how deep do you have to be to flat call here and not try and get it in?


idk too much about plo but id want more than 3 pots before i worried about getting freerolled.

youre only losing to a freeroll like 20% of the time and thats only if he has it. he will have it a good amount of the time if he has T9 since you have 2 tens so theres prob like 40% chance he has dimes as well as if he has QT on top of it.

id prob want like 3-3.5 pots before i didnt get it in, but i could be way off base
dingas
QUOTE (looshle @ Friday, November 27th, 2009, 1:23 AM) *
idk too much about plo but id want more than 3 pots before i worried about getting freerolled.

youre only losing to a freeroll like 20% of the time and thats only if he has it. he will have it a good amount of the time if he has T9 since you have 2 tens so theres prob like 40% chance he has dimes as well as if he has QT on top of it.

id prob want like 3-3.5 pots before i didnt get it in, but i could be way off base


This would be true against one opponent, but here there are two opponents, one of whom probably has the straight with a possible free roll, the other likely has a set - this puts hero's equity somewhere in the 30-40% range.

Given op's read that the sb wouldn't lead the turn without the nuts, then the call on the turn is fine.

I think possibly you can bet the river here when they check to you. I don't think either of them has a flush, and you may get sb to fold the same straight.
trystero
yea I thought of a bluff as I can kinda represent a BD flush, and I'd expect nit to fold some % of the time. With two opponents tho, even though I felt MP had a set on the flop, I was worried about one of them backing into a flush.

...and that's what happened, as SB had QdTd9xX
dingas
QUOTE (trystero @ Friday, November 27th, 2009, 9:08 AM) *
yea I thought of a bluff as I can kinda represent a BD flush, and I'd expect nit to fold some % of the time. With two opponents tho, even though I felt MP had a set on the flop, I was worried about one of them backing into a flush.

...and that's what happened, as SB had QdTd9xX


Yeah, I had this thought too. If he has T9 there's a 50% chance that he also has the Td, and he's probably checking all non-nut flushes, so betting the river is pretty marginal.
looshle
can mp really have T9 here? I assumed he almost always has a set/ 2pr/ or FD
This is a "lo-fi" version of our main content. To view the full version with more information, formatting and images, please click here.
Invision Power Board © 2001-2012 Invision Power Services, Inc.