Royal_Tour
Wednesday, November 25th, 2009, 4:35 PM
QUOTE (Merby @ Wednesday, November 25th, 2009, 4:51 PM)

That is why I am betting this turn. That is also why I said to just overbet shove here (it's important to note that I play my 2 pair+ hands like this too). He is too shallow to break the bet out amongst the turn and river, so I just shove here to maximize FE with my big draw.
We have 13 outs against a set and 14 or 15 outs against AA/KK (depending on whether or not he has a spade), so we're 31:13 ~ 2.5:1 against beating the set and 30:14 or 29:15 ~ 2:1 against beating AA or KK, so our hand is much better than a "4-1 dog."
When we are deeper, this hand plays a lot differently. I talked about betting the turn to set up the river shove, but more often I do check back the turn. In this case, we aren't deep enough to bet turn/shove river and our hand has good equity against any opponent's hand, so with the added FE of a turn overbet shove, I like this choice best.
yea my bad about the 4-1. Im tired.
But, this play is still not giving any credit to our villains image/range.
I agree about our effective stack sizes, which is a problem.
meh, to be honest. i'm good with either or in this spot.
Its the dynamics of how this hand has played out vs a typical tight passive player that i dont like.
I want to start narrowing his range and his betting patterns to be,
villain cbets this flop with over pair, check/calls with monster or draw. and check/folds all missed hands.
so with that being said, i lean towards him having a monster, or a draw. His draw is most certainly going to be Ace high
so with that conclusion...
i'm going to drink a redbull and forget this entire thread