5plo 6max, hero's stack is $6.50 and villain covers

Hero is dealt [ Q J J 9 ]

3 limpers
Hero completes
BB checks

Flop [ Q J 7 ]
(0.25)
Hero bets 0.25
3 folds
Villain raises to 1.25
Hero calls 1.00

Turn [ Q J 7 ] [ 4 ]
($2.75)

Hero bets $2.75
Villain shoves and hero calls

Assuming he calls...fold any non-pairing diamond river, c/c "safeish" ones, shove the 7 or 4 of diamonds

Should we just 3bet otf? We just hate so many turns that it's probably best to just get it in.

I prefer re-raising it on the flop. I don't really see why you would just call.

3 bet flop.

You have a blocker queen, so you're not likely up against top set. I think you could consider looking for a blank on the turn if you have position, but not in this case where you're out of position.

This type of flop hits more wrap/flush draws than top set. There are enough combo's of those draws that your middle set could be a dog equity wise if you were to 3 bet flop and try to get it all in.

I think you took a good line here by waiting for the blank turn.


Although, depending on your villian, could he be repoppin your flop bet with something as simple as a QJ? I think 3betting flop is a read dependent move here.

I think it's easy to overestimate the significance of being a dog to a big draw. Even in a brutal case the set isn't far behind.


twodimes

The times villain has bottom set or a weaker draw makes us a favorite against his range, even taking into account that we are sometimes a dog to a monster draw. A call on the flop would be okay if we did not have a Q in our hand (because of the greater likelihood of being against top set). As it is, a reraise is best.

reraise flop against big draws. as played i get it in and pray he misses his monster draw

yeah i like the 3 bet flop as well